Suns vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Warriors (35-33) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Suns (37-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Monday, March 13, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSAZ

The Phoenix Suns visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Warriors Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 36-29 against the spread, while the Warriors are 32-35 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+4.5 -110O 235.5 -115+150
Golden State Warriors -4.5 -110U 235.5 -115-185

Warriors vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 59.6% confidence.

Warriors vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Suns and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 68 games (+17.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+16.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.84 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.66 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 55 of their last 94 games (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+19.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+15.81 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 49 games at home (+15.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+13.17 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 36-29 (+4.1 Units / 5.56% ROI).

  • 37-30 against the Moneyline (-1.2 Units / -0.82% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 32-35 (-6.5 Units / -8.69% ROI).

  • 35-33 against the Moneyline (-26.05 Units / -17.23% ROI)
  • 38-29 against the Over for game total points (+6.1 Units / 8.16% ROI)
  • 29-38 against the Under for game total points (-12.8 Units / -17.11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.76 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games at home (-22.95 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 75 games (-21.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 98 games (-20.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-20.27 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 92 games (-25.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 86 games (-21.24 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.14 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-19.33 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 93 games (-19.30 Units / -19% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Phoenix Suns are 63-12 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (5,994 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 54-11 (.831) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Suns are 37-9 (.804) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 46-16 (.742) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Warriors are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247

The Warriors are 37-20 (.649) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Warriors are 4-26 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

The Warriors are 9-28 (.243) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .273

Injury Report: Warriors vs. SunsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Phoenix.
  • Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors): Kuminga is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Phoenix.
  • Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors GM Bob Myers said Payton II will be re-evaluated in a month.
  • Draymond Green (Warriors): Green is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Phoenix.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated in a week, according to Gerald Bourguet of GoPHNX.com.
  • Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is expected to miss 2 to 3 weeks with a left ankle injury. (per Woj)

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,860 assists/ 903 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,801 assists/ 2,674 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,766 assists/ 1,334 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,918 assists/ 1,335 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Warriors have averaged 14.2 assists per game (849 assists/60 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.9

The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (944 assists/31 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Warriors have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (364 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have blocked 308 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Suns have 1,126 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (303 blocks/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,063 rebounds/60 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,993 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,724 steals/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have 1,143 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.