Basketball
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 5

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (5-0) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSWI & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Bucks Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 6-2 against the spread, while the Bucks are 7-1 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+6.5 -110O 219.5 -110220
Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 -110U 219.5 -110-275

Bucks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 77.1% confidence.

Bucks vs Thunder Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+19.98 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+18.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 42 games (+16.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 63 games (+23.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 31 games (+20.55 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 94 games (+15.88 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games (+13.75 Units / 11% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 6-2 (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI).

    • 4-4 against the Moneyline (+5 Units / 58.48% ROI)
    • 5-3 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI)
    • 3-5 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 7-1 (+5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI).

    • 8-0 against the Moneyline (+8.55 Units / 26.97% ROI)
    • 3-5 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
    • 5-3 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-28.09 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 49 games at home (-25.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 55 games (-25.59 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 31 games (-23.65 Units / -69% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.49 Units / -25% ROI)
    •
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 58 games (-33.05 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 51 games (-17.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 57 games (-17.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-16.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-16.06 Units / -20% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

    The Thunder are 15-31 (.326) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

    The Thunder are 17-44 (.279) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Thunder were 6-31 (.162) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    The Thunder are winless (0-29) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .145

    Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

    The Milwaukee Bucks were 42-8 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for third-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons averaged 42.3 rebounds per game (3,340 rebounds/79 games) last season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Bucks were 21-4 (.840) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Bucks were 21-9 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

    The Bucks were 46-10 (.821) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

    Injury Report: Bucks vs. Thunder – Saturday‘s Game, Nov. 5

  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Sandro Mamukelashvili (Bucks): The Bucks have listed Mamukelashvili as OUT for Friday’s game (Nov. 4) against the Timberwolves.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
  • A.J. Green (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Green will miss about three weeks.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
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  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is out for Saturday’s (Nov. 5) game against Milwaukee.
    •

    Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder shot 43% (3,141/7,310) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Thunder averaged 1.16 points per shot (8,506 points/7,310 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Thunder are shooting 43% (5,936/13,648) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Thunder had an eFG% of 50% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Bucks averaged 1.29 points per shot (9,461 points/7,321 shots) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Bucks shot 37% from three (1,152/3,147) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Bucks made 14.0 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,885 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (326 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Thunder stole the ball 623 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

    The Thunder have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,453 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,709 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Bucks averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (659 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Bucks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (325 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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