- The Spurs (20-59) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (33-46)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Thursday, April 6, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on CW35 & ROOT Sports NW+
The Portland Trail Blazers visit Moody Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Austin.
The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Trail Blazers vs Spurs Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 38-41 against the spread, while the Spurs are 32-47 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Portland Trail Blazers | +4.5 -115 | O 227.5 -110 | +145 |
San Antonio Spurs | -4.5 -105 | U 227.5 -110 | -175 |
Spurs vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Thursday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.
Spurs vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 39 away games (+13.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.66 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 71 games (+15.48 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 76% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 38-41 (-7.1 Units / -8.17% ROI).
- 33-46 against the Moneyline (+1.8 Units / 1.59% ROI)
- 38-40 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -6.9% ROI)
- 40-38 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.07% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 32-47 (-19.7 Units / -22.67% ROI).
- 20-59 against the Moneyline (-1.65 Units / -2.07% ROI)
- 45-32 against the Over for game total points (+9.8 Units / 11.28% ROI)
- 32-45 against the Under for game total points (-17.5 Units / -20.14% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 79 games (-38.23 Units / -48% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 79 games (-32.17 Units / -37% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-24.80 Units / -30% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.50 Units / -28% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 54 games (-20.50 Units / -35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 65 games (-23.74 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.51 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 62 games (-19.26 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the Spread in 19 of their last 51 games (-16.20 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 66 games (-14.83 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Portland Trail Blazers are 20-57 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 55.6 rebounds per game (8,451 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.
The Portland Trail Blazers are 30-57 (.345) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (1,988 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Portland Trail Blazers are 10-34 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks made 12.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.
The Trail Blazers are 19-53 (.264) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Spurs are winless (0-30) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .302
The Spurs are 3-57 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276
The Spurs are 1-27 (.036) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240
The Spurs are 4-56 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229
Injury Report: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers – Thursday‘s Game, Apr. 6
- Devin Vassell (Spurs): Vassell is out for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Portland.
- Doug McDermott (Spurs): McDermott is out for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Portland.
- Jeremy Sochan (Spurs): Sochan is out for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Portland.
- Devonte’ Graham (Spurs): Graham is out for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Portland.
- Keldon Johnson (Spurs): Johnson is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Portland.
- Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
- Zach Collins (Spurs): Collins is probable for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Portland.
- Charles Bassey (Spurs): Bassey played his last game (Mar. 14) and is likely out for the rest of the season with a non-displaced fracture of his left patella, according to Tom Osborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
- Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr. 6) game against Portland.
- Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow underwent left ankle surgery and is anticipated to be ready for next season.
- Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that Badji will have surgery on his left knee and is expected to miss eight weeks.
- Trendon Watford (Trail Blazers): Watford is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers): Grant hasn’t played since Mar. 12 against New Orleans and remains without a timetable to return.
- Nassir Little (Trail Blazers): Little is out for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Kevin Knox II (Trail Blazers): Knox II is probable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Keon Johnson (Trail Blazers): Johnson is likely to miss extended time with a broken finger, according to Kellan Olson of ArizonaSports.com.
- Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): The Portland Trail Blazers plan to hold Damian Lillard out for the remainder of the season according to Chris Haynes
- Drew Eubanks (Trail Blazers): Eubanks is probable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic is out for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Matisse Thybulle (Trail Blazers): Thybulle is doubtful for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers): Sharpe is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): Simons is out for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
- Cam Reddish (Trail Blazers): Reddish is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against San Antonio.
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,662 assists/ 1,108 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.9 points in the paint per game (4,644 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2
The Trail Blazers shot 39% from three (1,131/2,936) in the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.7 points per game (8,214 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.2
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
The Spurs have averaged 1.11 points per shot (302 points/271 shots) in the second half in the last two weeks — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Spurs have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (8,120 points/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
The Spurs have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,109 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,288 rebounds/68 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (491 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,685 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (262 blocks/67 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Spurs have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,236 rebounds/67 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Spurs have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,214 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Spurs have averaged 7.7 steals per game (571 steals/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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