- Kentucky is a -11.5 point favorite vs Troy
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- Troy / Kentucky TV channel: CBS
The Troy Trojans visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
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Troy vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | +11.5 -110 | O 152.5 -115 | +525 |
| Kentucky | -11.5 -110 | U 152.5 -105 | -750 |
Troy vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Troy vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.
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Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+3.25 Units / 0% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has a 20-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI).
- 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 16-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.85 Units / -7.84% ROI).
- 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 19-14 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI
- 14-19 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.8
Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Troy has 22.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Troy has a 39% free throw rate (719 free throw attempts/1,824 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky has averaged 87.1 points per game (5,488 points/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.5
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Troy has averaged 10.0 steals per game (619 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Troy has averaged 9.4 steals per game (302 steals/32 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (939 rebounds/33 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Kentucky has allowed 81.5 points per game (1,955 points/24 games) this season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.0
Kentucky has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,786 rebounds/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
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