VCU vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

College Basketball Betting Previews
(Shutterstock/Melinda Nagy)
  • VCU (18-12) is a -1.5 point favorite vs UMass (18-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • VCU / UMass TV channel: USA

The VCU Rams (18-12) visit Barclays Center to take on the UMass Minutemen (18-12) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT in Brooklyn, NY.

VCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The VCU vs. UMass Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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VCU vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
VCU-1.5 -105O 138.5 -115-120
UMass +1.5 -115U 138.5 -105+100

VCU vs UMass Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts VCU will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

VCU vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • VCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • VCU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UMass have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.70 Units / 14% ROI)

VCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

VCU has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -10.61% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -10.64% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI

UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass has a 18-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.7 Units / 14.22% ROI).

  • 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 7.04% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -4.7% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -4.7% ROI

VCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

VCU has averaged 71.8 points per game (1,652 points/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

VCU has averaged 1.33 points per shot (4,132 points/3,115 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

VCU has made 885 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

VCU is shooting 36% from three (189/531) this season — 5th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has averaged 80.1 points per game (1,763 points/22 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

UMass has an eFG% of 48% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UMass has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (367 assists/ 250 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UMass has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

VCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

VCU has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

VCU has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

VCU has averaged 7.7 steals per game (445 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

VCU has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has averaged 8.5 steals per game (186 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UMass has 397 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

UMass has 186 steals this season — 2nd most among Atlantic 10 Teams

UMass has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (1,591 points/1,257 shots) this season — 3rd highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.