Bengals vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 10

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(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 06, 2024, 1:59 PM
  • The Ravens are -6.5 point favorites vs the Bengals
  • Total (Over/Under): 53 points
  • Watch this game on Amazon

The Cincinnati Bengals (4-5-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (6-3-0) on Nov. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Bengals vs. Ravens Over/Under is 53 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bengals+6.5 -12053 -110+220
Ravens -6.5 -11053 -110-275

Bengals vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bengals vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

  • Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Carries Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Bengals

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Derrick Henry (BAL) +325
Chase Brown (Cin) +700
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Bengals

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Derrick Henry (BAL) -300
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) -125
Chase Brown (Cin) -120
Tee Higgins (Cin) +140
Zay Flowers (Bal) +140

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Bengals

Player Name Over Under
Zay Flowers (BAL) 59.5 -115 59.5 -115
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (CIN) 81.5 -115 81.5 -115
Mark Andrews (BAL) 43.5 -110 43.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Bengals

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry (BAL) 93.5 -115 93.5 -115
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 50.5 -115 50.5 -115
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals art 5-4 (+0.8 Units / 8.25% ROI).

  • Bengals are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -31.29% ROI
  • Bengals are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.65 Units / 26.63% ROI
  • Bengals are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 5-3 (+1.85 Units / 18.69% ROI).

  • Ravens are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -11.86% ROI
  • Ravens are 8-1 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
  • Ravens are 1-8 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Bengals were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.

The Bengals are winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .287.

The Bengals were 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .583.

The Bengals were 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

The Ravens were undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .637.

The Ravens are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .269.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have run successful plays on 49.8% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed successful plays on 49.3% of rush attempts with a base front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have averaged 0.14 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 0.22 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

The Ravens have averaged 0.12 epa per play with motion since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 0.06 epa per play against motion since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have run successful plays on 52.5% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on 50.0% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have run successful plays on 52.6% of pass attempts this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on 49.1% of pass attempts this season — T-5th-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have a third down conversion rate of 46.5% this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 45.8% this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.

The Bengals have averaged -0.80 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

The Bengals threw the ball 36% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in close and late situations last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Bengals threw for 5 TDs in Week 9 — most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have averaged 0.24 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

The Ravens had 21 rushes of 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 21% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/81 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Ravens have run the ball on 87% of plays (20 carries/23 plays) on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 50% of plays on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals defense has tackled opponents for a loss on just 59 of 716 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) since the 2023 season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Bengals defense allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,621 yards / 819 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.

The Bengals defense has allowed an average of 1.6 yards after contact per carry (716 carries) since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense has allowed 43 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.

The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Ravens defense has allowed 34 of 167 (20%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

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About the Author

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.