- The Bengals are -1.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 48 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC
The Cincinnati Bengals (8-8-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6-0) on Jan. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Steelers Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | -1.5 -110 | 48 -110 | -125 |
| Steelers | +1.5 -110 | 48 -110 | +105 |
Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bengals vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Andrei Iosivas has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.57 Units / 62% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 52% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Bengals
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (Cin) | +550 |
| Ja'Marr Chase (Cin) | +550 |
| Ja’Marr Chase (Cin) | +550 |
| Najee Harris (Pit) | +700 |
| Tee Higgins (Cin) | +750 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Bengals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | 92.5 -115 | 92.5 -115 |
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | 20.5 -115 | 20.5 -120 |
| George Pickens (PIT) | 64.5 -110 | 64.5 -120 |
| Tee Higgins (CIN) | 77.5 -110 | 77.5 -120 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Bengals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | 39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 44.5 -120 | 44.5 -110 |
| Russell Wilson (PIT) | 16.5 -110 | 16.5 -120 |
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals art 10-6 (+3.6 Units / 20.69% ROI).
- Bengals are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -17.5% ROI
- Bengals are 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.45 Units / 30.88% ROI
- Bengals are 5-11 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 10-6 (+3.3 Units / 18.8% ROI).
- Steelers are 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 17.86% ROI
- Steelers are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Steelers are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Bengals were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.
The Bengals are winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .158.
The Bengals are winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.
The Bengals are 2-11 (.154) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .363.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Steelers are 6-2 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 239.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .622.
The Steelers are 4-2 (.667) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
The Steelers were undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have run successful plays on just 33.7% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed successful plays on just 37.6% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Steelers are 6-2 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 239.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Steelers TEs have 9 receiving touchdowns this season — T-2nd-most in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 29 receiving touchdowns this season — 4th-most in NFL.
The Bengals have run successful plays on just 36.0% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on just 36.6% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Bengals have run successful plays on just 36.4% of rush attempts on play action passes this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on just 25.0% of rush attempts on play action passes this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Bengals RBs have averaged just 1.6 yards after contact per carry this season — T-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just 1.9 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — T-5th-best in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
The Bengals have run successful plays on 48% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
The Bengals have converted first downs on 25 of 66 plays (38%) when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers have averaged 9.3 yards per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Steelers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Steelers have gone three and out 8 times in the 1st quarter since Week 14 — most in NFL.
The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 49% of plays on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Bengals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 8% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Bengals defense allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,621 yards / 819 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 65.7 in the red zone (139 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.6.
The Steelers defense forced 8 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts on motion plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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