- The Buccaneers are -7 point favorites vs the Broncos
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Denver Broncos (0-2-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).
The Broncos vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Broncos | +7 -115 | 39.5 -110 | +260 |
| Buccaneers | -7 -105 | 39.5 -110 | -350 |
Broncos vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Broncos vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chase McLaughlin has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Buccaneers vs Broncos
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Godwin (TB) | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 |
| Mike Evans (TB) | 60.5 -120 | 60.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Buccaneers vs Broncos
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield (TB) | 10.5 -120 | 10.5 -110 |
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have scored first in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos art 1-1 (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- Broncos are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Broncos are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Broncos are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 131.15% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Broncos are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.
The Broncos were 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Broncos were 5-3 (.625) when playing in cold weather last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Broncos are 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Buccaneers are undefeated (3-0) after a road win since the 2022 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .541.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-3) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .164.
The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Buccaneers were 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.
Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on just 34.0% of rush attempts this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 27.3% of rush attempts this season — best in NFL.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 54.5% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on 57.1% of pass attempts with a base front this season — worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers ran just 23.9% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — worst in NFL. The Broncos allowed their opponents to runjust 24.1% of plays in their territory last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Broncos are averaging just 1.8 yards per carry on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed just 2.1 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos have run successful plays on 17% of plays on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Broncos have averaged -0.33 epa per play against a base front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Broncos have run successful plays on 20% of plays in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Broncos have run successful plays on 15% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 73% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
The Broncos defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 4th quarter in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 12% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 18% of plays with a light rush since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense blitzed on 65% of plays in Week 2 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 49% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 75% of plays on 3rd and long this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 56% of plays in the red zone this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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