- The Ravens are -18 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC
The Cleveland Browns (3-13-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (11-5-0) on Jan. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Baltimore, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -18 (-110).
The Browns vs. Ravens Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +18 -110 | 41.5 -110 | +1100 |
| Ravens | -18 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -2500 |
Browns vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Deshaun Watson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Elijah Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nelson Agholor has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews (BAL) | 36.5 -120 | 36.5 -110 |
| Zay Flowers (BAL) | 58.5 -120 | 58.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 88.5 -115 | 88.5 -115 |
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+3.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.80 Units / 7% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.83 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns art 4-12 (-9.2 Units / -51.98% ROI).
- Browns are 3-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -52.39% ROI
- Browns are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Browns are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 9-6 (+2.45 Units / 13.84% ROI).
- Ravens are 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -2.23% ROI
- Ravens are 12-4 when betting the Over for +7.6 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Ravens are 4-12 when betting the Under for -9.2 Units / -52.27% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Browns are winless (0-12) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .158.
The Browns are 3-13 (.188) this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Browns are winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
The Ravens are 9-3 (.750) when not throwing an interception this season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Browns have intercepted 4 passes this season — fewest in NFL.
The Ravens are 9-4 (.692) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 31 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have a third down conversion rate of 45.9% against the blitz this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 43.2% when blitzing this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have thrown for 20+ yards on 53 of 445 attempts this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Browns allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Ravens RBs have averaged 10.8 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 9.6 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Browns have run just 10.1% offensive plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed their opponent to run just 13.0% of plays in the red zone this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on just 34.6% of pass attempts with motion this season — worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on just 42.9% of pass attempts against motion this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.25 epa per play with motion since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just -0.09 epa per play against motion since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have averaged -0.31 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 29% on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Browns have averaged -0.37 epa per play against a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Browns have averaged -0.25 epa per play on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have thrown the ball 12% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/48 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 26 times this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 47 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 7.7 yards per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 90 of 428 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) this season. — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 34% of plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 62.5 first read passes (281 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 95.1.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
The Ravens defense allowed -0.14 epa per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Ravens defense have allowed -0.11 epa per play in the 1st half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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