- The Chargers are -3 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (8-5-0) on Dec. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Buccaneers vs. Chargers Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Chargers vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM
Buccaneers vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buccaneers | +3 -115 | 45.5 -110 | +125 |
| Chargers | -3 -105 | 45.5 -110 | -150 |
Buccaneers vs. Chargers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Buccaneers vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Chargers vs Buccaneers and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.K. Dobbins has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+3.72 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.77 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers art 8-5 (+2.5 Units / 17.42% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 6.53% ROI
- Buccaneers are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- Buccaneers are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers are 9-3 (+5.7 Units / 39.86% ROI).
- Chargers are 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 12.99% ROI
- Chargers are 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
- Chargers are 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .589.
The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Buccaneers are 3-3 (.500) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .661.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — 9th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 253.4 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chargers are 1-9 (.100) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Chargers were 3-8 (.273) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.7% of 608 carries since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 10+ yards on just 7.8% of carries to RBs since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — 9th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 253.4 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chargers are averaging just 3.6 yards per carry on rushes up the middle since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed just 3.5 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Buccaneers RBs have averaged 2.8 yards after contact per carry this season — T-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — worst in NFL.
Buccaneers RBs have averaged 2.8 yards after contact per carry this season — T-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.6 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — worst in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 49% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts against a base front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 33% of rush attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Chargers have thrown the ball 17% of the time (7 Pass Attempts/42 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have been flagged 5 times on offense in the red zone since the 2023 season — fewest in NFL.
The Chargers have converted first downs on just 14 of 34 plays (41%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense allowed a passer rating of just 25.3 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed successful plays on 68% of rush attempts with a base rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed an average of 1.4 yards after contact per carry (412 carries) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Buccaneers defense allowed an average of 1.5 yards after contact per carry (349 carries) to RBs last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 28% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Chargers defense allowed 0.64 epa per play with a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Chargers defense allowed 17 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Chargers vs Buccaneers and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
