Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction: 3 Bets for Week 11 Monday Night Football

Before Monday Night Football kicks off from Kansas City, I’m set to provide a trio of Chiefs vs. Eagles predictions. 

The Chiefs are 7-2 entering this game, the second-best record in the AFC. They had their bye week in Week 10 after capturing a 21-14 win over the Miami Dolphins in Germany. 

As for the 8-1 Eagles, who own the best record in the NFC, they’ve won three straight games entering their Week 10 bye. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Monday’s game, as well as my bets for the contest. 

Chiefs vs. Eagles Betting Odds

• Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline: -145
• Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline: +120
• Game Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-115) 
• Game Total: 45.5 Points

Chiefs vs. Eagles Predictions

Chiefs-Eagles Total Under 45.5 Points (-110) 

Two rested teams in a primetime slot? Color me interested in a slog. 

Bettors will remember these sides exploded for 73 points in the Super Bowl, but a lot has changed since that encounter. 

The first is that the Chiefs’ defense is markedly better. Entering this game, Kansas City ranks third in defensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Even more impressive is that record has come against the ninth-hardest set of opposing offenses. 

Although the Eagles are 19th in defensive DVOA, they’ve faced some injuries recently and are finally fully healthy. 

Lastly, this total matches two historically profitable betting systems. 

Primetime unders are 60.1% since 2018-19, including 25-7 this season. 

Moreover, games featuring two teams with at least eight rest days are 95-45-1 (67.9%) since the 2018-19 season. 

Travis Kelce Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-120) 

I’ve checked the Taylor Swift tour schedule more than I care to admit recently. 

This game is being billed as a meeting of the families, with both Kelce and Swift’s parents rumored to attend. 

Jokes aside, Kelce’s in for a big performance. 

Everyone knows Kelce performs infinitely better when Swift attends – he’s surpassed 100 yards in his last two home games. 

On the chance you’re looking for hard-hitting analysis, consider this: The Eagles are 32nd in pass defense DVOA against tight ends, per ftnfantasy.com. 

They also allowed Kelce to amass 81 receiving yards in the Super Bowl last year and have allowed north of 300 yards passing in two straight games. 

Bet on love and back Kelce to clear this number for the first time since Week 7. 

Isiah Pacheco Under 12.5 Rushing Attempts (+105) 

Admittedly correlative to the Kelce play, Pacheco faces an Eagles team that excels at defending the run. 

Philadelphia ranks second in rush defense DVOA and ninth in adjusted line yards per attempt, per ftnfantasy.com. 

They’re also surrendering the fewest rushing yards per game at 66.3, including 67.3 over their last three games. 

That makes this a great sell-high spot on Pacheco, who has cleared this number in all but three games. 

However, he’s averaging only 11.7 attempts in three games against sides 11th or better in rush defense DVOA. 

Look for a decreased workload as the Chiefs attempt to exploit the Eagles’ secondary.