- The Eagles are -3.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on Amazon
The Washington Commanders (7-3-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (7-2-0) on Nov. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Commanders vs. Eagles Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Commanders | +3.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | +150 |
| Eagles | -3.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | -185 |
Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 52.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Commanders vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
- Austin Seibert has hit the Field Goals Over in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- DeVonta Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kenneth Gainwell has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 46% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | +380 |
| Jalen Hurts (Phi) | +600 |
| A.J. Brown (Phi) | +750 |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | +850 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | -225 |
| Jalen Hurts (Phi) | -110 |
| Terry McLaurin (Was) | +100 |
| Brian Robinson Jr (Was) | +115 |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | +115 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | 30.5 -120 | 30.5 -110 |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 93.5 -115 | 93.5 -120 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 40.5 -120 | 40.5 -110 |
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders art 7-2 (+4.8 Units / 42.86% ROI).
- Commanders are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 36.97% ROI
- Commanders are 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Commanders are 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 5-4 (+0.65 Units / 6.5% ROI).
- Eagles are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 19.79% ROI
- Eagles are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Eagles are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Commanders were winless (0-8) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Commanders were 1-10 (.091) when intercepting no passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Commanders are 5-13 (.278) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .473.
The Commanders were 2-12 (.143) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .600.
The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles are 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .376.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have averaged 0.26 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 0.26 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have averaged 0.04 epa per play since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 0.07 epa per play since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Eagles have scored on 48.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have a third down conversion rate of 22.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 22.4% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have thrown the ball just 46.2% of the time this season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback this season — best in NFL.
The Commanders went three and out on 41.7% of their drives last week — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Eagles forced three and outs on 38.5% of opponent drives last week — 5th-best in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have run 24% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Commanders have scored on 58% of their drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Commanders threw the ball 57% of the time (267 Pass Attempts/465 plays) on 1st down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Commanders have run 34% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter since Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles have run successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles have thrown the ball 31% of the time (81 Pass Attempts/262 plays) since Week 7 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Eagles started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 10 — most in NFL.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Commanders defense has allowed a passer rating of 106.6 with a base rush (772 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.8.
The Commanders defense allowed 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense allowed 39 TD passes last season — most in NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 14% of pass attempts in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 7% of plays with a base rush in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 13% of pass attempts on motion plays in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 12% of plays first read passes in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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