- The Cowboys are -13 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Dallas Cowboys (9-7) visit FedEx Field to take on the Washington Commanders (6-9) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Landover, MD.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -13 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Commanders Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cowboys | -13 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -800 |
| Commanders | +13 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +550 |
Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 18 game with 85.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cowboys vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 64.8% confidence.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys went 9-7 (+1.3 Units / 7.34% ROI).
- Cowboys are 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.27% ROI
- Cowboys are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Cowboys are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders went 6-9 (-3.8 Units / -21.65% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -51.19% ROI
- Commanders are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
- Commanders are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Cowboys are 9-2 (.818) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 259.2 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys are 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception this season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Commanders have intercepted 7 passes this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Cowboys are 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .567.
The Cowboys are 21-5 (.808) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders have turned the ball over 54 times since the 2022 season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Commanders are winless (0-9) after a road win since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Commanders are winless (0-3) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since Week 14 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .512.
The Commanders are winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .419.
The Commanders are winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
The Commanders have run just 39.6% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL. Cowboys have allowed their opponents to run just 40.9% of plays in their territory since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Commanders RBs have averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 8.9 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Commanders QBs have been 109 sacked since the 2022 season — 4th-most in NFL. The Cowboys have sacked the quarterback 96 times since the 2022 season — 4th-most in NFL.
The Cowboys have scored on 49% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — best in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 44.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have 32 touchdown passes this season — T-most in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 35 passing TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys have scored on 48.5% of their drives this season — best in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 45.4% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys have converted first downs on just 8 of 103 plays (8%) on 1st down since Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Cowboys have scored on 49% of their drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Cowboys have run 26% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have thrown the ball 58% of the time (255 Pass Attempts/443 plays) on 1st down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 9% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Commanders have run the ball on 34% of plays (340 carries/1,011 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Commanders have started 31 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense has allowed just 4.3 yards per dropback (536 yards/125 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Cowboys defense has stuffed 43% (6/14) of rushing attempts on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.
Only 41% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in their own territory since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Cowboys defense has allowed just 2.9 receptions per game (47/16) to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.6.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Commanders defense has allowed 5.0 TDs per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Commanders defense have allowed 21 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense has allowed 27.8 points per game to opposing offenses (445 points / 16 games) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20.9.
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