- The Eagles are -3.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Philadelphia Eagles (12-2-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (9-5-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Landover, MD.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Eagles vs. Commanders Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Commanders vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM
Eagles vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Eagles | -3.5 -105 | 45.5 -110 | -185 |
| Commanders | +3.5 -115 | 45.5 -110 | +150 |
Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Eagles vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Commanders vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Austin Seibert has hit the Field Goals Over in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Pass Attempts Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Commanders vs Eagles
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts (Phi) | +500 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | +500 |
| Brian Robinson Jr (Was) | +550 |
| A.J. Brown (Phi) | +850 |
| Jayden Daniels (WAS) | +850 |
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.64 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+3.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 9-5 (+3.55 Units / 22.83% ROI).
- Eagles are 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 25.59% ROI
- Eagles are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- Eagles are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 8-5 (+2.55 Units / 16.4% ROI).
- Commanders are 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 5.14% ROI
- Commanders are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
- Commanders are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Eagles are 9-1 (.900) when not throwing an interception this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Commanders have intercepted 5 passes this season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.
The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .580.
The Eagles are 13-3 (.812) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Commanders have intercepted 13 passes since the 2023 season — fewest in NFL.
The Eagles are undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Commanders are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .163.
The Commanders were 3-5 (.375) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Commanders are winless (0-3) when rushing for less than 100 yards this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .288.
The Commanders were 2-8 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders
The Commanders have run successful plays on 63.9% of rush attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed successful plays on 58.9% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have run successful plays on 53.6% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed successful plays on 53.2% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have run successful plays on 67.7% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed successful plays on 61.1% of rush attempts with a base rush this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have averaged 0.49 epa per play against open coverage since the 2023 season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 0.53 epa per play with open coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Eagles have scored on 12.8% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 16.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Eagles have scored on 51.4% of their drives in the second half this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives in the second half this season — worst in NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles averaged 0.25 epa per play against a stacked front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (76 carries/193 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have run successful plays on 68% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Commanders have an average drive start position from the 32.7 yard line in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27.1.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Commanders have an average drive start position from the 31.4 yard line this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27.9.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of plays open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 10% of opponent drives in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 103.3 on contested throws (103 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64.6.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Commanders defense has allowed a passer rating of 104.5 with a base rush (883 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.
The Commanders defense has allowed a passer rating of 133.2 open coverage (410 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 119.7.
The Commanders defense allowed 0.16 epa per play in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Commanders vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
