Eagles vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

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Cowboys player number 4 about to throw an NFL ball game, with a struggle between Cowboys and Jets players in the background.

(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 06, 2024, 2:02 PM

The Eagles are -7.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys
Total (Over/Under): 42 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Philadelphia Eagles (6-2-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (3-5-0) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Arlington, TX.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Eagles vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Eagles	-7.5 -105	42 -110	-350
Cowboys	+7.5 -115	42 -110	+280

Eagles vs. Cowboys Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 53% ROI)
DeVonta Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 58% ROI)
Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Rico Dowdle has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.65 Units / 80% ROI)
Rico Dowdle has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 66% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.30 Units / 49% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 4-4 (-0.35 Units / -3.93% ROI).

Eagles are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 17.61% ROI
Eagles are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Eagles are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 2-6 (-4.5 Units / -52.33% ROI).

Cowboys are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -31.25% ROI
Cowboys are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Cowboys are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .576.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .603.

The Eagles were 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles are 6-2 (.750) this season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Cowboys are winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .316.

The Cowboys were 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

The Cowboys are undefeated (6-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 45.0% since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 43.8% since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys have averaged 0.22 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 0.17 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys have run 51.7% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed their opponents to run 48.3% of plays in their territory since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have averaged 0.28 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 0.21 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 53.6% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on 53.1% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have thrown the ball 23% of the time (20 Pass Attempts/87 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys ran 20% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cowboys have committed 9 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys ran 20% of their plays in the red zone last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cowboys have run the ball on 30% of plays (17 carries/56 plays) in the red zone this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 51.3 with tight coverage (160 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.

The Eagles defense allowed 2.1 TD passes per game (35/17) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 103.3 on contested throws (103 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64.6.

The Eagles defense allowed 3.9 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 9 INT) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of 131.4 on motion plays (101 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.9.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of just 65.3 with a light front (163 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 84.7.

The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 25% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Cowboys defense have allowed 0.24 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.

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