Giants vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 10

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Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young passes against the New Orleans Saints during the first half of an NFL football game Monday, Sept. 18, 2023, in Charlotte, N.C.

(Rusty Jones/AP Photo)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 06, 2024, 1:59 PM

The Giants are -6 point favorites vs the Panthers
Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
Watch this game on NFLN

The New York Giants (2-7-0) visit Allianz Arena to take on the Carolina Panthers (2-7-0) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EST in .

The Giants are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Giants vs. Panthers Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Giants	-6 -110	40.5 -105	-275
Panthers	+6 -110	40.5 -115	+220

Giants vs. Panthers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Giants will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Panthers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 63.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
Jalin Hyatt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.55 Units / 52% ROI)
Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Adam Thielen has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Giants

Player Name	Over	Under
Daniel Jones (NYG)	27.5 -110	27.5 -120

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+7.42 Units / 43% ROI)
The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
The New York Giants have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 43% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.80 Units / 27% ROI)
The New York Giants have scored first in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.20 Units / 31% ROI)

Panthers Best Bets:

The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 20% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants art 3-6 (-3.5 Units / -35.71% ROI).

Giants are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -23.08% ROI
Giants are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.65 Units / -36.68% ROI
Giants are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 2-7 (-5.6 Units / -57.44% ROI).

Panthers are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -23.33% ROI
Panthers are 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
Panthers are 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants are 1-4 (.200) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.

The Giants were 5-10 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Giants are 5-16 (.238) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Panthers are 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .651.

The Panthers are 2-19 (.095) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Panthers are 1-5 (.167) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .747.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have run successful plays on just 35.0% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on just 33.9% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Panthers have averaged just -0.30 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Giants have allowed just -0.07 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed successful plays on just 36.4% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Giants QBs were sacked 85 times last season — most in NFL.

The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers have averaged -0.44 epa per play on play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.

The Panthers have turned the ball over on downs 38 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

The Panthers averaged 13.6 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Panthers turned the ball over on downs 25 times last season — most in NFL.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Giants defense blitzed on 25% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Giants defense have allowed 0.61 epa per play with a stacked front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.06.

The Giants defense has sacked opposing QBs on 52% of pass attempts (35/68) when they have pressured the QB this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense has averaged a sack every 28.0 pass attempts (280 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) this season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.0.

The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (422 carries) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (472 carries) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

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