- The Bears are -2 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch this game on NFLN
The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4-0) visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the Chicago Bears (3-2-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in .
The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Jaguars vs. Bears Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
Bet now on Bears vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM
Jaguars vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | +2 -110 | 45 -110 | +110 |
| Bears | -2 -110 | 45 -110 | -135 |
Jaguars vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 63.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Bears vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.90 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored last in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars art 2-3 (-1.35 Units / -24.32% ROI).
- Jaguars are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -54.89% ROI
- Jaguars are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Jaguars are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI).
- Bears are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 12.82% ROI
- Bears are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Bears are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Jaguars are winless (0-10) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .236.
The Jaguars were undefeated (9-0) when leading at the end of the first half last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .783.
The Jaguars were 6-3 (.667) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
The Jaguars were 2-5 (.286) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Bears are winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .226.
The Bears were 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Bears were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.
The Bears are 2-9 (.182) on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .452.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Chicago Bears
Bears RBs have averaged just 1.2 yards after contact per carry this season — worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 1.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — T-best in NFL.
Bears RBs have averaged just 1.6 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 1.6 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Bears ran 28.8% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jaguars allowed their opponent to run 25.0% of plays in the red zone last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have averaged just -0.62 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed just -0.74 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 39.7% of pass attempts with motion this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on just 35.2% of pass attempts against motion this season — best in NFL.
The Jaguars have run just 36.9% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed their opponents to run just 38.7% of plays in their territory this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 11% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Jaguars have started 8 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged -0.56 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears ran 42% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 5 — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Bears ran 50% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 5 — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has allowed 24 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of 118.9 with a base rush (156 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 90.2.
The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of 132.5 on motion plays (107 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.8.
The Jaguars defense has allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense have allowed -0.28 epa per play with a base rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Bears defense averaged a sack every 21.6 pass attempts (647 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.0.
The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 76% on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Bears vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!