Jaguars vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

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Eagles player number 1 running with NFL ball game in hand.
(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Eagles are -7.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (5-2-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Jaguars vs. Eagles Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Jaguars vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jaguars+7.5 -11045.5 -110+280
Eagles -7.5 -11045.5 -110-350

Jaguars vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jaguars vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

  • Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Jaguars

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Saquon Barkley (PHI) +360
Jalen Hurts (Phi) +550
A.J. Brown (Phi) +600

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Jaguars

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Saquon Barkley (PHI) -200
Jalen Hurts (Phi) -105
A.J. Brown (Phi) -105

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Evan Engram (JAC) 49.5 -110 49.5 -120
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 12.5 -120 12.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 40.5 -110 40.5 -120
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 89.5 -115 89.5 -115
Trevor Lawrence (JAC) 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.10 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+2.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars art 4-4 (-0.45 Units / -5.06% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -40.5% ROI
  • Jaguars are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Jaguars are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 8.92% ROI).

  • Eagles are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 14.4% ROI
  • Eagles are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Eagles are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Jaguars are 2-6 (.250) this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Jaguars are 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.

The Jaguars were undefeated (3-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .607.

The Jaguars are winless (0-5) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .276.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Eagles are 9-2 (.818) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 249.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .589.

The Eagles are 12-3 (.800) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Jaguars have turned the ball over 41 times since the 2023 season — T-4th-most in NFL.

The Eagles were 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have been successful on 58.9% of plays they have ran against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed their opponents to be successful on 50.0% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have averaged 0.28 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 0.15 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have averaged 0.05 epa per play since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 0.03 epa per play since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 68.4% of rush attempts against a light front this season — best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed successful plays on 57.1% of rush attempts with a light front this season — T-5th-worst in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats

The Jaguars have turned the ball over on downs 9 times in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

The Jaguars turned the ball over on downs 5 times in the red zone last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Jaguars ran successful plays on 47% of plays against a light rush last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Jaguars have started 18 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 54% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats

The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 76% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Jaguars defense were flagged 4 times for defensive holding or pass interference last season — fewest in NFL.

The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed 2.1 TD passes per game (35/17) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.

The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed 25 touchdown receptions in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

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About the Author

BetMGM Betting

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.