- The Broncos are -1.5 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 43 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The New York Jets (1-3) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (1-3) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Denver.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this Week 5 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Jets vs. Broncos Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | +1.5 -110 | 43 -110 | +105 |
| Broncos | -1.5 -110 | 43 -110 | -125 |
Jets vs. Broncos Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 5 game with 62.3% confidence.
Jets vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jets and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this Week 5 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+2.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+2.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jets are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -45% ROI
- Jets are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jets are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos went 0-3 (-3.35 Units / -75.28% ROI).
- Broncos are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -58.54% ROI
- Broncos are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Broncos are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Jets are 3-19 (.136) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .362.
The Jets are 10-24 (.294) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .487.
The Jets are 1-3 (.250) this season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jets are 4-15 (.211) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Broncos are winless (0-5) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .229.
The Broncos are winless (0-5) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .120.
The Broncos are 4-14 (.222) on the road since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.
The Broncos were winless (0-8) on the road in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos have run just 10.0% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. Jets has allowed their opponent to run just 11.7% of plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL.
The Broncos have been successful on just 37.6% of plays they have run since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL. Jets have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 40.0% of plays since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL.
Broncos RBs have averaged 8.2 targets per game this season — fourth-highest in NFL. The Jets have allowed 6.0 receptions per game to RBs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
Jets RBs have averaged 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry this season — worst in NFL.
The Jets have a third down conversion rate of just 33.3% since the 2022 season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.9% since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL.
Jets RBs have averaged 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — tied for best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — tied for worst in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets have converted first downs on just 2 of 11 plays (18%) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Jets have faced a blitz 25% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Jets are averaging 28.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.
The Jets have run successful plays on 28% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos have thrown the ball 79% of the time (22 Pass Attempts/28 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Broncos started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have scored on 83% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Broncos had a third down conversion rate of 29% in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense has allowed 116.8 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 158.0.
The Jets defense has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 22 carries in the red zone this season — tied for best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
Only 6% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
45% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 4 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense has allowed 13 TD passes this season — most in NFL.
The Broncos defense has allowed a passer rating of 133.4 (128 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.7.
The Broncos defense has allowed 5.2 TDs per game (21/4) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.3.
The Broncos defense has allowed first downs on 55% of plays on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
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