- The Jets are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The New York Jets (3-10-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-10-0) on Dec. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.
The Jets are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Jets vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | -3.5 -105 | 40.5 -110 | -185 |
| Jaguars | +3.5 -115 | 40.5 -110 | +150 |
Jets vs. Jaguars Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 92% ROI)
- Anders Carlson has hit the Field Goals Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Reynolds has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC) | 63.5 -120 | 63.5 -110 |
| Davante Adams (NYJ) | 66.5 -115 | 66.5 -115 |
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 |
| Evan Engram (JAC) | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -115 |
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.56 Units / 4% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets art 4-9 (-6 Units / -41.38% ROI).
- Jets are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.3 Units / -60.34% ROI
- Jets are 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 10.49% ROI
- Jets are 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 7-5 (+1.45 Units / 10.1% ROI).
- Jaguars are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -43.86% ROI
- Jaguars are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jets are winless (0-10) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.
The Jets are winless (0-5) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Jets are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Jaguars are winless (0-3) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars are 2-10 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Jaguars are 1-6 (.143) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars are 2-7 (.222) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 39.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 40.3% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 37.5% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — T-5th-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 24.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jets have pressured opposing QBs on 28.4% of passing plays since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Jets have a third down conversion rate of just 11.9% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Jets have thrown the ball 60.2% of the time this season — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 7.8 yards per dropback this season — worst in NFL.
Jets RBs have averaged 7.3 targets per game this season — T-3rd-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 5.4 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets averaged 11.8 drives per TD last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Jets converted first downs on just 19 of 51 plays (37%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Jets averaged 13.9 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 19% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Jaguars have converted first downs on just 53 of 110 plays (48%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Jaguars have gone three and out on 62% of their drives in the 3rd quarter since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Jaguars have run 725 plays this season — fewest in NFL.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 14% of plays with tight coverage since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has allowed 58 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has hit opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 76% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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