- Following Week 8, Josh Allen (+300) is the favorite to win NFL MVP.
- Prior to the start of the regular season, Patrick Mahomes (+600) was the favorite to win 2024 NFL MVP.
- Based on preseason odds, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Jalen Hurts came in as the only other players 10/1 or shorter.
Following NFL Week 8, Bills quarterback Josh Allen (+300) is the current favorite in the 2024-25 NFL MVP Odds.
Allen took the top spot off Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (+360) in Week 8.
Beyond Allen and Jackson, there are three other quarterbacks priced at +900 or shorter to win the award.
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes sits at +500 to win the award, down from +600 prior to the start of the regular season. Rounding out the list are Jared Goff (+700) and Jayden Daniels (+900).
For the full list of MVP odds, head to the BetMGM online sportsbook.
NFL MVP Odds 2024
| NFL Player | Current Odds | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +500 | +500 |
| Josh Allen | +300 | +850 |
| Joe Burrow | +2500 | +900 |
| Jalen Hurts | +2000 | +1000 |
| CJ Stroud | +1300 | +1100 |
| Jordan Love | +2000 | +1400 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +15000 | +1500 |
| Lamar Jackson | +360 | +1600 |
| Dak Prescott | +8000 | +1800 |
| Brock Purdy | +2000 | +1800 |
| Jared Goff | +700 | +2200 |
| Kyler Murray | +3500 | +5000 |
| Baker Mayfield | +5000 | +6600 |
| Sam Darnold | +3000 | +20000 |
| Jayden Daniels | +900 | +20000 |
2024 NFL MVP Prediction
I predict Jared Goff (+2500) will win the 2024-25 NFL MVP award, based on the Lions’ outstanding offensive record last year and their relatively easy schedule against pass defenses.
Goff has yet to claim the honor in his career but gets a favorable schedule of pass defenses with a top-tier unit.
Last season, the Lions ranked fifth in passing success rate and seventh in pass EPA per play.
This season, they play only seven games against teams who ranked 14th or better in pass defense EPA per play last season. Of the nine remaining games, seven come against teams 21st or worse last year.
Additionally, the Lions play a majority of games at home this year, and all but three games indoors.
While Goff averages the same amount of yards indoors, his mistakes dwindle. For his career, 63% of 82 career interceptions came outdoors.
As a result, Goff is worth a flier at +3000 to win his first NFL MVP award.
Favorites to Win 2024 NFL MVP
Bills quarterback Josh Allen (+300) is the current favorite to win NFL MVP.
Allen, who has yet to earn an MVP award win, is one of five players priced at +900 or shorter. The other four quarterbacks are Lamar Jackson (+360), Patrick Mahomes (+500), Jared Goff (+700) and Jayden Daniels (+900).
Prior to the start of the season, Mahomes (+600) was the favorite to win NFL MVP.
That price rated Mahomes as one of only three players at +900 or shorter with Allen (+900) and Joe Burrow (+900) occupying the other two slots.
NFL MVP By Year
| Year | NFL Most Valuable Player |
|---|---|
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2019 | Patrick Mahomes |
| 2018 | Lamar Jackson |
| 2017 | Tom Brady |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan |
| 2015 | Cam Newton |
| 2014 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2013 | Peyton Manning |
| 2012 | Adrian Peterson |
| 2011 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2010 | Tom Brady |
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