- The case for using the Cleveland Browns as a survivor pick.
- Are survivor players wise to keep fading the Panthers?
This NFL season at BetMGM, online sportsbook users have an opportunity to win big money.
In a BetMGM free-to-play Survivor Challenge, users select one team each week to win that week’s game. The only catch – players cannot use the same team more than once in the season.
The last contestant standing takes home a $100,000 grand prize or a share if multiple players are left.
Here, I’ll break down my approach to Week 17’s survivor pick and the best selection for users. NFL betting lines are reflective at the time of writing.
NFL Week 17 Survivor Candidates
Cleveland Browns (-7) vs. New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars (-7) vs. Carolina Panthers
NFL Week 17 Survivor Pick
For me, you can’t really go wrong with either of these selections, so pick whichever team you trust more.
That said, the Cleveland Browns (-7) are probably the safer choice.
Cleveland is 7-1 straight up at home this season, where they’ve surrendered the fewest points per game in the league. This year, only one team has eclipsed 20 points in Cleveland.
It’s also a chance for the Browns to clinch a playoff spot. With an outright win, the Browns will snatch one of three AFC Wild Card spots.
Conversely, the Jets have struggled to pick up road wins this season.
In five true road games, New York is 1-4 straight up, including 0-3 straight up against teams with current winning records.
Jets head coach Robert Saleh is also 3-13 straight up as an underdog of seven or more points, including 1-9 on the road.
They’ve also amassed only six total points in their last two road games – Miami and Buffalo – so I question how their offense does enough to win outright.
As for the Jaguars (-7), it’s more so a fade of the Panthers than a play on the Jaguars.
The Panthers have yet to capture a straight up win away from home, and Jacksonville has faced a brutal home schedule.
To date, they’ve played only two home games against teams with losing records. In those games, they’re 2-0 straight up.
I also don’t normally buy into narratives, but this is Jacksonville’s last home game of the season as they’re clinging to a division lead.
As a result, they should do no worse than a straight up win in front of fans who have witnessed two consecutive home losses.