Packers vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 1

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Eagles player number 1 running with NFL ball game in hand.
(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:26 PM
  • The Eagles are -2.5 point favorites vs the Packers
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch this game on PEAC

The Green Bay Packers (0-0-0) visit Arena Corinthians to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0) on Sep. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Sao Paulo, SP.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).

The Packers vs. Eagles Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers+2.5 +10048.5 -105+125
Eagles -2.5 -12048.5 -115-150

Packers vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 52.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 63.4% confidence.


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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.45 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.65 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Packers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jalen Hurts (Phi) +650
Saquon Barkley (PHI) +650
Josh Jacobs (GB) +800
A.J. Brown (Phi) +850

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Packers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Saquon Barkley (PHI) -105
A.J. Brown (Phi) +105
Jalen Hurts (Phi) +110
Josh Jacobs (GB) +115

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Josh Jacobs (GB) 16.5 -115 16.5 -115
Jayden Reed (GB) 42.5 -115 42.5 -115
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 15.5 -110 15.5 -120
Romeo Doubs (GB) 39.5 -110 39.5 -120
Christian Watson (GB) 38.5 -110 38.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Jordan Love (GB) 6.5 -120 6.5 -110
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 37.5 -115 37.5 -115
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
Josh Jacobs (GB) 63.5 -115 63.5 -115
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+3.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+3.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in their last 1 games (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Packers went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Packers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 52.86% ROI
  • Packers are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Packers are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Eagles went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Eagles are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 24.36% ROI
  • Eagles are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Eagles are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Packers were 6-2 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed 252.7 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Packers were undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .652.

The Packers were 6-2 (.750) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

The Packers were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Eagles are undefeated (11-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .506.

The Eagles are 15-2 (.882) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 134.3 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles ran successful plays on 51.4% of pass attempts against a light front last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Packers allowed successful plays on 51.2% of pass attempts with a light front last season — worst in NFL.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 48.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Packers allowed successful plays on 53.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — worst in NFL.

The Eagles ran successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed successful plays on just 27.6% of pass attempts with a light rush last season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Packers ran 51.4% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed their opponents to run49.3% of plays in their territory last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Packers threw 32 touchdown passes last season — 3rd-most in NFL. The Eagles allowed 35 passing TDs last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 27.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — best in NFL. The Eagles defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 23.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers ran 36% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers scored on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Packers ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 18 — T-most in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 60% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 60% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense sacked opposing QBs on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 25% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 51% of pass attempts with a light front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of 99.4 with a light front (201 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 83.2.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed an average of 44.0 fantasy points per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33.3.

The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.