- The Packers are -3 point favorites vs the Rams
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Green Bay Packers (2-2-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (1-3-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Packers vs. Rams Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | -3 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -175 |
| Rams | +3 -105 | 48.5 -110 | +145 |
Packers vs. Rams Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs Rams Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 63.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tucker Kraft has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kyren Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Rams vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs (GB) | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 |
| Jayden Reed (GB) | 59.5 -120 | 59.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Rams vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | 88.5 -115 | 88.5 -115 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 66.5 -110 | 66.5 -120 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers art 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Packers are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 2.27% ROI
- Packers are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Packers are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / ROI
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 1-3 (-2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI).
- Rams are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -20.73% ROI
- Rams are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.85 Units / 41.57% ROI
- Rams are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.87% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Packers are 10-2 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Rams have intercepted 11 passes since the 2023 season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.
The Packers were 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Packers are 3-2 (.600) when not forcing a turnover since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .257.
The Packers were 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Rams are 1-3 (.250) this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams are undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
The Rams were 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Rams were undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams have been successful on 46.6% of plays they have ran against a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 46.1% of plays with a light front since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Rams have run successful plays on just 22.2% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on just 28.1% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Rams have been successful on just 23.8% of plays they have ran against a light rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 28.6% of plays with a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Packers have 8 touchdown passes this season — T-2nd-most in NFL. The Rams have allowed 8 passing TDs this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Packers have thrown for 20+ yards on 17 of 122 attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Rams allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — worst in NFL.
Packers WRs have gained 729 yards on 45 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers threw for 4 TDs in Week 4 — most in NFL.
The Packers have 17 receptions for 20+ yards this season — T-most in NFL.
The Packers committed 5 turnovers in Week 4 — most in NFL.
The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams have run 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Rams have averaged -0.50 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Rams averaged -0.51 epa per play against a light rush last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Rams started 10 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has 8 interceptions this season — T-most in NFL.
The Packers defense has forced 11 turnovers this season — T-most in NFL.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of plays with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 51% of pass attempts with a light front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense has missed 45 tackles this season — most in NFL.
The Rams defense have allowed 0.62 epa per play against play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.04.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of 141.4 when the opposing QB has scrambled (9 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 63.7.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of 123.7 with a base rush (89 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.4.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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