Packers vs Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 15

(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • The Packers are -3 point favorites vs the Seahawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch this game on NBC | UNIV | TELX

The Green Bay Packers (9-4-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (8-5-0) on Dec. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Seattle, WA.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Packers vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers-3 -10546 -110-150
Seahawks +3 -11546 -110+125

Packers vs. Seahawks Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Seahawks Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tucker Kraft has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kenneth Walker III has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Tyler Lockett (SEA) 22.5 -110 22.5 -120
DK Metcalf (SEA) 64.5 -115 64.5 -115
Josh Jacobs (GB) 13.5 -110 13.5 -120
Christian Watson (GB) 45.5 -120 45.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Josh Jacobs (GB) 73.5 -115 73.5 -115
Jordan Love (GB) 6.5 -105 6.5 -125
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.03 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.32 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.83 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.19 Units / 18% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers art 6-6 (-0.65 Units / -4.56% ROI).

  • Packers are 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 24.11% ROI
  • Packers are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • Packers are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.23% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 16.49% ROI
  • Seahawks are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • Seahawks are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Packers are 5-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 13 s this season — 4th-highest in NFL.

The Packers were undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .654.

The Packers are 7-4 (.636) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .514.

The Packers are 4-1 (.800) on the road this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Seahawks are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .644.

The Seahawks were undefeated (7-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .622.

The Seahawks are 3-1 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble this season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .602.

The Seahawks are 6-2 (.750) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .597.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 51.0% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 51.3% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 23.1% of pass attempts against a stacked front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Packers have pressured opposing QBs on 54.5% of pass attempts with a stacked front this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 63.3% of pass attempts last week — best in NFL. The Packers allowed successful plays on 61.0% of pass attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Packers have run 18.2% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed their opponent to run 18.1% of plays in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Packers have run 18.1% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed their opponent to run 16.4% of plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Packers have run successful plays on 52.1% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Seahawks have pressured opposing QBs on 19.8% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers ran 52% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Packers have run successful plays on 14% of plays against a light rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Packers ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers have run 41% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half since Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Seahawks have converted fourth downs on just 11 of 24 plays (46%) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 66%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 34.9 on 3rd and long (53 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 81.7.

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 58% of pass attempts first read passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Packers defense averaged 0.4 interceptions per game (7/17) last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.