- The Buccaneers are -8 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Carolina Panthers (4-11-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7-0) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Tampa, FL.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).
The Panthers vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Panthers vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Panthers | +8 -110 | 48.5 -110 | +310 |
| Buccaneers | -8 -110 | 48.5 -110 | -400 |
Panthers vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Panthers vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today
- Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Eddy Pineiro has hit the Field Goals Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.55 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.13 Units / 47% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Buccaneers vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans (TB) | 79.5 -115 | 79.5 -115 |
| Rachaad White (TB) | 16.5 -110 | 16.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Buccaneers vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young (CAR) | 17.5 -115 | 17.5 -115 |
| Rachaad White (TB) | 41.5 -120 | 41.5 -110 |
| Baker Mayfield (TB) | 15.5 -110 | 15.5 -120 |
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.41 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers art 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.98% ROI).
- Panthers are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -12.99% ROI
- Panthers are 11-4 when betting the Over for +6.6 Units / 40% ROI
- Panthers are 4-11 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 14.5% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 3.16% ROI
- Buccaneers are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Buccaneers are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers are 2-7 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .657.
The Panthers were winless (0-11) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Panthers were 1-14 (.067) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Buccaneers are winless (0-3) when within 3 points at the two minute warning this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-4) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .147.
Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers have averaged 0.08 epa per play with motion since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 0.07 epa per play against motion since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 66.7% of rush attempts on play action passes this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed successful plays on 73.3% of rush attempts on play action passes this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 81.8% of rush attempts with motion last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Panthers allowed successful plays on 69.2% of rush attempts against motion last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
No Matchup notes for this Game
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers have averaged -0.24 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.
The Panthers have averaged -0.27 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.
The Panthers ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts against a base front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Panthers have averaged 0.01 epa per play on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 51% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts against a base front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 58% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 18% of plays with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 20% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (968 carries) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (472 carries) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense allowed a passer rating of just 25.3 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 21% of plays with a base front in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 12% of rush attempts in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed successful plays on 93% of rush attempts against play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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