Panthers vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 7

min read
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 2:30 PM
  • The Commanders are -8 point favorites vs the Panthers
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Carolina Panthers (1-5-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Landover, MD.

The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).

The Panthers vs. Commanders Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Commanders vs Panthers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Panthers vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Panthers+8 -11051.5 -110+310
Commanders -8 -11051.5 -110-400

Panthers vs. Commanders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 65.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Panthers vs Commanders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Commanders vs Panthers and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Adam Thielen has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Adam Thielen has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Brian Robinson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers art 1-5 (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • Panthers are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -48.33% ROI
  • Panthers are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • Panthers are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 43.28% ROI).

  • Commanders are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 64.44% ROI
  • Commanders are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • Commanders are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Panthers are 3-20 (.130) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers are 1-19 (.050) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Panthers are winless (0-16) when committing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Commanders are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .598.

The Commanders were 2-9 (.182) after a loss last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.

The Commanders were 2-12 (.143) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Commanders were 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers have run successful plays on 13% of plays against a stacked front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Panthers averaged 13.6 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Panthers scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Panthers have scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats

The Commanders have run 63% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Commanders have run 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Commanders have scored on 69% of their drives in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Commanders have started 7 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense has averaged a sack every 30.0 pass attempts (180 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 13.9.

The Panthers defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (33/688) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (667 carries) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 33.9 fantasy points per game to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22.2.

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats

The Commanders defense allowed 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Commanders defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Commanders defense allowed 39 TD passes last season — most in NFL.

The Commanders defense have allowed 0.57 epa per play open coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Commanders vs Panthers and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.