- The Commanders are -8 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Carolina Panthers (1-5-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Landover, MD.
The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).
The Panthers vs. Commanders Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
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Panthers vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Panthers | +8 -110 | 51.5 -110 | +310 |
| Commanders | -8 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -400 |
Panthers vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 65.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Panthers vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Adam Thielen has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Adam Thielen has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 47% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers art 1-5 (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).
- Panthers are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -48.33% ROI
- Panthers are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Panthers are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 43.28% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 64.44% ROI
- Commanders are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Commanders are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers are 3-20 (.130) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers are 1-19 (.050) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Panthers are winless (0-16) when committing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Commanders are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .598.
The Commanders were 2-9 (.182) after a loss last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Commanders were 2-12 (.143) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Commanders were 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers have run successful plays on 13% of plays against a stacked front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Panthers averaged 13.6 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
The Panthers scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Panthers have scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have run 63% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Commanders have run 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Commanders have scored on 69% of their drives in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Commanders have started 7 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense has averaged a sack every 30.0 pass attempts (180 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 13.9.
The Panthers defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (33/688) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (667 carries) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 33.9 fantasy points per game to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22.2.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Commanders defense allowed 39 TD passes last season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense have allowed 0.57 epa per play open coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
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- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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