- The Titans are -3.5 point favorites vs the Patriots
- Total (Over/Under): 38 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The New England Patriots (2-6-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (1-6-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.
The Titans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Patriots vs. Titans Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Patriots vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Patriots | +3.5 -115 | 38 -110 | +150 |
| Titans | -3.5 -105 | 38 -110 | -185 |
Patriots vs. Titans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Titans will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Patriots vs Titans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Ja’Lynn Polk has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Hooper has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Will Levis has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Will Levis has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.80 Units / 53% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Titans vs Patriots
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | +500 |
| Calvin Ridley (TEN) | +750 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Titans vs Patriots
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | +100 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | +135 |
| Tyjae Spears (Ten) | +140 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -120 |
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have scored last in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+1.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots art 2-5 (-3.4 Units / -39.08% ROI).
- Patriots are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -2.5% ROI
- Patriots are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Patriots are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 1-6 (-5.6 Units / -73.68% ROI).
- Titans are 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -70.44% ROI
- Titans are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
- Titans are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Patriots are 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.
The Patriots were winless (0-5) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Patriots are 3-7 (.300) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Patriots were winless (0-6) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Titans are winless (0-4) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.
The Titans are 1-6 (.143) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Titans are 1-11 (.083) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.
Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans have 21 touchdown passes since the 2023 season — T-fewest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 29 passing TDs since the 2023 season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.
Titans WRs have averaged just 3.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 3.8 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
Titans RBs have averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 6.8 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Patriots have gone three and out on 29.1% of their drives this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Titans have forced three and outs on 30.8% of opponent drives this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Patriots have averaged just -0.05 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed just -0.03 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots have averaged -0.46 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 28% of plays against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Patriots started 65 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — most in NFL.
The Patriots ran 8% of their plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have run 29% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Titans have run 30% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Titans have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Titans have scored on 18% of their drives in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
The Patriots defense allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Patriots defense has tackled opponents for a loss on just 15 of 233 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Patriots defense allowed 6.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (5,375 yards / 850 touches) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.
The Patriots defense allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts with a base front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 4th quarter in Week 8 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
48% of the plays ran against the Titans were in the red zone in the 1st half in Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Titans defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (3 completions/22 attempts) when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Titans defense has allowed first downs on just 47% of plays on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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