Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction: NFL Week 16 Odds, Betting Picks

Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt (90) defends during an NFL football game, Sunday, Jan. 8, 2023, in Pittsburgh, PA.
(Matt Durisko/AP Photo)
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point home favorite against the Steelers.
  • The Steelers have won six straight games as underdogs against the Ravens.
  • My Ravens vs. Steelers prediction is for Pittsburgh to cover the spread.

With a win on Saturday, the Ravens can tie the Steelers for the lead in the AFC North.ย 

Baltimore, off a Week 14 bye, captured a dominant win over the Giants as 16.5-point market favorites. That vaulted Baltimore to 9-5, a game behind Pittsburgh.ย 

The Steelers suffered a 27-13 loss against the Eagles in Week 15. That proved the first loss since Week 12 for Pittsburgh, which is 7-2 SU over the last nine games.ย 

Bet on Ravens vs. Steelers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.ย 

NFL Week 16 Odds: Ravens vs. Steelers

Dec 21 - 4 pm EST

Steelers at Ravens

Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction

Based on Mike Tomlinโ€™s strong record as a market underdog within the division, my Ravens vs. Steelers prediction is the Steelers Spread (+6.5, -105).ย 

Iโ€™m personally waiting to grab this side until clarity emerges about T.J. Wattโ€™s ankle injury. Watt said after Sundayโ€™s game X-rays were negative, and it sounds like heโ€™s going to play.ย 

But Wattโ€™s absence would severely impact Pittsburghโ€™s ability to exploit Baltimoreโ€™s offensive line and contain Lamar Jackson.ย 

Pittsburgh also could return George Pickens for Saturdayโ€™s game. That would boost an offense ranking 30th in offensive success rate over the previous two games.ย 

But the crux of this bet is trusting Tomlin as an underdog in a divisional contest.ย 

The Steelers head coach is 66% ATS as a market dog in his career.ย 

Where he excels is against the Bengals, Ravens and Browns. As a market dog against those teams, Tomlin posts a 26-9-2 ATS (74.4%) record.ย 

Perhaps even more impressive is that Tomlin recorded a 22-15 SU record in those divisional contests.ย 

That renders Tomlin the only NFL coach with a winning SU record as a market underdog having played at least 20 games.ย 

When Tomlin gets five or more points in those divisional games, he owns a near-flawless 6-1 ATS record and 4-3 SU record.ย 

Conversely, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has struggled as a mid-size favorite.ย 

Jackson is 4-14 ATS as a market favorite between -7.5 and -3 in divisional contests, including 1-7 over the previous three seasons.ย 

Add in the fact Baltimore is prone to letting teams back into games in the second half, and Iโ€™ll back the Steelers so long as their defensive talisman plays on Saturday.ย 

Betting Ravens vs. Steelers: NFL Public Betting

Check back on Friday for Ravens vs. Steelers public betting data and insights.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.