- The Ravens are a 9.5-point home favorite against the Steelers.
- Baltimore is 3-0 SU at home against divisional opponents this season.
- My Ravens vs. Steelers prediction focuses on the Steelers team total.
It’s an AFC North rubber match in the wild-card round as the Ravens host the Steelers on Saturday in Baltimore.
The Ravens cruised to a division title with a 35-10 win over the Browns in Week 18. That marks four consecutive wins for John Harbaugh’s side, including a 34-17 win over Pittsburgh.
The Steelers, meanwhile, enter the wild-card round amidst a four-game losing streak. After starting the season 10-3, those four losses resigned the Steelers to the sixth seed.
Bet on Ravens vs. Steelers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Wild Card Odds: Ravens vs. Steelers
Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction
Based on the improvement of the Ravens defense and Pittsburgh’s predictable offensive strategy, my Ravens vs. Steelers prediction is the Steelers Team Total Under 16.5 Points (-105)
Russell Wilson’s moon balls have dried up, and the Steelers have struggled to move the ball, even against the league’s worst defenses.
Not since Week 14 has Mike Tomlin’s side scored more than 18 points.
Last week against Cincinnati, which ranks 29th in defensive DVOA, the Steelers managed 17 points and only 193 yards of offense.
Now they’ll turn around and face a Ravens defense that has drastically improved of late.
Since emerging from their bye week, Baltimore has kept all four teams under 17 points.
While the opposition leaves much to be desired, they’re facing a Steelers team that managed 18 and 17 points in two head-to-head meetings this season.
There’s an argument George Pickens’ absence affected Pittsburgh in Week 16. However, Pickens’ lack of production against Cincinnati renders that argument essentially moot.
For the Steelers offense to clear this number, they’ll essentially have to run insanely lucky offensively.
Since Week 7, Pittsburgh ranks 23rd in EPA per play and 28th in offensive success rate. Just since Week 15, they’re 31st and 29th, respectively.
Baltimore’s defense leads the league in each category since Week 15. As a result, bettors should question how Pittsburgh moves the ball on Saturday.
Betting Ravens vs. Steelers: NFL Public Betting
| Bets% (ATS) | Money% (ATS) | Bets% (ML) | Money% (ML) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 63% | 58% | 68% | 35% |
| Ravens | 37% | 42% | 32% | 65% |
