Saints vs. Panthers Predictions: 2 Bets for Week 14 Game

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New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (41) and New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr (4) celebrate a touchdown during an NFL football game against the Indianapolis Colts, Sunday, Oct. 29, 2023, in Indianapolis.
(Zach Bolinger/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Dec 07, 2023, 3:50 PM
  • The Saints are -5.5-point favorites against the Panthers.
  • New Orleans has lost three straight games but won at Carolina.
  • Panthers still have only one win this season and have yet to win away from home.

Before the action kicks off from New Orleans, I’m set to provide a pair of Saints vs. Panthers predictions. 

Both teams enter this game having produced less-than-desirable results recently. 

New Orleans has lost three straight and four of their last six games. As a result, they’ve dropped to third place in the NFC South. 

Meanwhile, Carolina has dropped five straight since capturing their lone win of the season against the Texans. 

Last week, they lost but covered against the Bucs. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Sunday’s game, as well as my bets for the contest. 

Saints vs. Panthers Betting Odds

  • New Orleans Saints Moneyline: -225
  • Carolina Panthers Moneyline: +185
  • Game Spread: New Orleans Saints -5.5 
  • Game Total: 38 Points

Saints vs. Panthers Betting Predictions

Same-Game Parlay: Saints Moneyline & Panthers Spread (+10.5) (+150)

As noted in my NFL Week 14 Survivor Pool Pick, the Saints should win this game outright. 

Even though Dennis Allen, Derek Carr and Jameis Winston are terrible against the spread as favorites, New Orleans beat Carolina in the last head-to-head matchup. 

They also did so without Alvin Kamara, who should be able to exploit a Carolina defense 32nd in rush defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Additionally, since 2013-14, divisional home favorites that won the previous game are 264-116-1 straight up in the second meeting. 

All of that said, I don’t believe the Saints can beat the Panthers by two or more touchdowns. 

Carolina looked re-invigorated against the Bucs last week after firing head coach Frank Reich. They’ve also stayed within this number in two of three divisional contests. 

Lastly, since 2005-06, underdogs facing favorites under .500 from Week 10 onward are 57.1% ATS. 

As a result, the Panthers should cover against this number. 

Alvin Kamara Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-115) 

The Panthers may have improved in terms of showing last week, but their run defense still leaves a lot to be desired. 

Carolina sits 32nd in rush defense DVOA and 29th in adjusted line yards per attempt, per ftnfantasy.com. 

They also just allowed Bucs running back Rachaad White to rush for 80 yards last week.

Kamara didn’t play in the first meeting between these sides but dominated them last season. 

In two games, Kamara cleared this number on both occasions, including a 107-yard performance in Week 18 of last season. 

Although Kamara has cleared this number in only four of nine games this season, I’ll back him to overtake it against an easy opponent.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.