- The Saints are -7 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The New Orleans Saints (2-6-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (1-7-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Charlotte, NC.
The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The Saints vs. Panthers Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Saints | -7 -115 | 43.5 -110 | -350 |
| Panthers | +7 -105 | 43.5 -110 | +280 |
Saints vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Saints will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Saints vs Panthers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
- Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cedrick Wilson has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.95 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adam Thielen has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara (NO) | 31.5 -120 | 31.5 -115 |
| Chris Olave (NO) | 65.5 -120 | 65.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara (NO) | 67.5 -115 | 67.5 -115 |
| Bryce Young (CAR) | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 -110 |
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have scored last in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints art 3-5 (-2.4 Units / -27.91% ROI).
- Saints are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -33.33% ROI
- Saints are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Saints are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 1-7 (-6.6 Units / -75.86% ROI).
- Panthers are 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -61.25% ROI
- Panthers are 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Panthers are 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Saints are winless (0-5) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.
The Saints were 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .654.
The Saints are winless (0-3) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .437.
The Saints were 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble last season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers are 2-19 (.095) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Panthers are winless (0-18) when committing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.
The Panthers were 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers have run successful plays on just 37.4% of pass attempts since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed successful plays on just 41.5% of pass attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Panthers have run successful plays on just 39.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed successful plays on just 43.1% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Panthers have averaged just -0.11 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed just -0.08 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Saints have run successful plays on 77.8% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed successful plays on 78.6% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Saints have run successful plays on just 39.8% of pass attempts with motion this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed successful plays on just 40.9% of pass attempts against motion this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Saints were successful on just 26.9% of plays they ran with motion last week — worst in NFL. The Panthers allowed their opponents to be successful on just 31.8% of plays against motion last week — 4th-best in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints averaged 0.26 epa per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
The Saints have targeted RBs 26% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/257 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Saints have converted first downs on just 5 of 48 plays (10%) on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Saints ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers have turned the ball over on downs 13 times this season — T-most in NFL.
The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of 67% on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Panthers ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Panthers averaged 0.13 epa per play against open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.36.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Saints defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (12 completions/36 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46% on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Saints defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense has allowed 33.0 points per game to opposing offenses (264 points / 8 games) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.7.
The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (472 carries) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (422 carries) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (732 carries) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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