- The Seahawks are -3.5 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on Amazon
The Seattle Seahawks (8-7-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (4-11-0) on Dec. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Chicago, IL.
The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Seahawks vs. Bears Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Seahawks vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Seahawks | -3.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -200 |
| Bears | +3.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +165 |
Seahawks vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Seahawks vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Bears vs Seahawks and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today
- Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.40 Units / 80% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Keenan Allen has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Keenan Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Seahawks
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III (Sea) | +300 |
| D'Andre Swift (CHI) | +750 |
| Zach Charbonnet (Sea) | +300 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Seahawks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen (CHI) | 60.5 -110 | 60.5 -120 |
| Rome Odunze (CHI) | 40.5 -120 | 40.5 -110 |
| DK Metcalf (SEA) | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -115 |
| Tyler Lockett (SEA) | 17.5 -110 | 17.5 -120 |
| Cole Kmet (CHI) | 17.5 -115 | 17.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Seahawks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -120 |
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.32 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.65 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.57 Units / 31% ROI)
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks art 6-7 (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- Seahawks are 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 5.12% ROI
- Seahawks are 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
- Seahawks are 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 6-7 (-1.8 Units / -10.81% ROI).
- Bears are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -44.92% ROI
- Bears are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Bears are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Seahawks were 6-4 (.600) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Seahawks are 5-3 (.625) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Seahawks were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Seahawks are 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .605.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Bears are winless (0-4) vs top 10 pass offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .407.
The Bears are winless (0-7) on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .481.
The Bears are winless (0-7) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .360.
The Bears are winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .255.
Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears had a third down conversion rate of just 20.0% last week — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Seahawks defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 25.0% last week — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Bears have been successful on 52.3% of plays they have run against a heavy rush this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed their opponents to be successful on 51.9% of plays with a heavy rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Bears have scored 4.6 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 4.5 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Seahawks have run successful plays on 50.6% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on 48.2% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 60.0% of rush attempts last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Bears allowed successful plays on 58.1% of rush attempts last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Seahawks have averaged 0.27 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 0.40 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 12% of plays on first read passes in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged -0.63 epa per play on first drive of the game since Week 13 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bears have run 2% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Bears have averaged 0.22 epa per play on contested throws this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Seahawks defense have forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Seahawks defense has allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed -0.17 epa per play with a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 76% on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Bears defense allowed 58.8 receiving yards per game (1,000/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32.4.
The Bears defense allowed first downs on 87% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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