- The Eagles are -5.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (11-2-0) on Dec. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Steelers vs. Eagles Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | +5.5 -120 | 42.5 -110 | +185 |
| Eagles | -5.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -225 |
Steelers vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 75.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Steelers vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Chris Boswell has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+5.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | 16.5 -120 | 16.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | 29.5 -110 | 29.5 -120 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 39.5 -120 | 39.5 -110 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 97.5 -120 | 97.5 -110 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 57.5 -115 | 57.5 -115 |
| Russell Wilson (PIT) | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -125 |
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers art 10-3 (+6.6 Units / 46.32% ROI).
- Steelers are 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 35.59% ROI
- Steelers are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- Steelers are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 8-5 (+2.55 Units / 17.65% ROI).
- Eagles are 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 24.48% ROI
- Eagles are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
- Eagles are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Steelers are undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
The Steelers were undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
The Steelers are undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .362.
The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
The Eagles were 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Eagles are 17-3 (.850) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles ran successful plays on just 38.1% of pass attempts last week — 4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers allowed successful plays on just 31.7% of pass attempts last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Eagles have averaged just -0.09 epa per play on passing attempts on first down since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just -0.05 epa per play on passing attempts on first down since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Steelers have thrown the ball just 44.3% of the time this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback this season — best in NFL.
The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of just 34.4% in the first half this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 31.3% in the first half this season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Steelers have thrown for just 6.0 yards per attempt on first down this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.1 yards per dropback on first down this season — 4th-best in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Steelers started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 14 — most in NFL.
The Steelers have averaged 0.29 epa per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.08.
The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles have run successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Eagles have run the ball on 40% of plays (71 carries/176 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 11% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 61.0 in the red zone (119 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.1.
The Steelers defense forced 8 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
58% of the plays ran against the Eagles were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter in Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Eagles defense allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.
The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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