Steelers vs. Jets Prediction: NFL Week 7 Odds, Betting Picks

Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt (90) is introduced before an NFL football game, Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023, in Pittsburgh, PA.
(Matt Durisko/AP Photo)
  • The Steelers are a 1.5-point home underdog against the Jets.
  • The Steelers have lost the first half in eight straight games against the AFC East.
  • My Steelers vs. Jets prediction is the pregame total under 37.5 points.

Looking for a second straight win, the Steelers welcome the Jets to Pittsburgh in Week 7.ย 

A win for Pittsburgh would move the Steelers to 5-2. In Week 6, Pittsburgh used strong defensive and special teams play to down the Raiders 32-13 in Las Vegas.ย 

The Jets have yet to play their Week 6 contest. Currently, New York is a home underdog in Jets vs. Bills on Monday Night Football.ย 

Bet on Steelers vs. Jets and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.ย 

NFL Week 7 Odds: Steelers vs. Jets

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets-2 (-110)38.5 (-110)-135
Steelers+2 (-110)38.5 (-110)+115

Steelers vs. Jets Prediction, SNF

Due to the strength of both defenses and historically profitable total trends, my Steelers vs. Jets prediction is the pregame Total Under 37 Points (-110).ย 

While Pittsburghโ€™s defense looked shaky at times in Las Vegas, reinforcements appear to be on the way.ย 

Reports suggest Alex Highsmith could return from injury for this contest. If he does, it suddenly takes a lot of pressure off T.J. Watt.ย 

Through Week 6, Pittsburgh sits fifth in defensive EPA per play. In Week 7, they get a Jets offense currently 22nd in the corresponding offensive category.ย 

Even if New Yorkโ€™s offense improves under Buffalo, theyโ€™ll face a road game on short rest against a defense superior to its Week 6 opponents.ย 

This game simultaneously offers a chance to sell the Steelers offense.ย 

Pittsburgh goes from facing a team 20th in defensive EPA per play to a team thatโ€™s fifth in that metric.ย 

Mike Tomlinโ€™s squad also benefited A LOT from mistakes by Aidan Oโ€™Connell in Week 6. Six of Pittsburghโ€™s seven scoring drives started in Vegas territory because of turnovers.ย 

Against a more experienced quarterback, Pittsburgh should see some negative regression.ย 

Finally, outdoor games with a total between 32.5 and 38 are 49-24-1 (67%) to the under since 2019. When the Steelers are involved in that game, itโ€™s 12-3 to the under.ย 

Steelers vs. Jets: NFL Public Betting Trends

Bets% (Spread)Money% (Spread)Bets% (ML)Money% (ML)
Jets42%52%33%55%
Steelers58%48%67%45%

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.