Rams Super Bowl Prediction: Odds Breakdown for Los Angeles

min read
Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams (23) runs with the ball during an NFL football game against the Washington Commanders, Sunday, Dec. 17, 2023, in Inglewood, Calif.
(Kyusung Gong/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jan 09, 2024, 4:44 PM
  • The Los Angeles Rams have +5000 Super Bowl odds.
  • Since their bye week, the Rams have earned wins in seven of eight.
  • With Matthew Stafford & Kyren Williams, LA owns one of the NFL's top offenses.

As of Jan. 9, the Rams Super Bowl odds are +5000, with an implied probability of 1.9%. Prior to the 2024 NFL season, Los Angeles was +3000 to raise the Vince Lombardi Trophy. 

They also possess +2000 odds – an implied probability of 4.7% – to win the NFC Championship at the BetMGM online sportsbook

In terms of the Super Bowl, there wasn’t much faith in the Rams this season. Los Angeles received only 1.2% of all tickets and 1% of the total handle to win the big game. 

Super Bowl 58 Betting Prediction

At 50/1, there are worse bets to make in the current futures market. For my favorite NFC pick, check out my 49ers Super Bowl Prediction

The wild-card round features a meeting of “great offenses, bad defenses” between the Rams and Lions. 

Given the Rams’ current form, they’re absolutely capable of stealing a win in Detroit. 

Granted, chances are their next opponent would be the 49ers or Cowboys, both of whom Los Angeles lost to when their opponents played at full strength. 

However, let’s entertain the thought the Packers upset the Cowboys (unlikely, but within the realm of possibility). 

If the Rams win, they’d get either the Bucs or Eagles, both of whom I rate behind the Rams with all of their offensive weapons – Matthew Stafford, Kyren Williams, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua – healthy. 

Even if they win and get the Cowboys, their offense can absolutely keep up with Dallas, who earned a 43-20 win over Los Angeles earlier this season. 

However, the Rams played without Williams in that game. 

Between Weeks 12-17 – when both Stafford and Williams played – Los Angeles ranked fourth in offensive EPA per play. 

In Weeks 1-6 – the other timeframe where both were healthy – Los Angeles finished sixth in EPA per play. 

For reference, Los Angeles finished 27th in EPA per play in Week 7 through Week 11, finishing 2-3. 

Although their defense is slightly below average – they were 20th in EPA per play and 21st in defensive DVOA for the season – their offense is absolutely capable of making up for them. 

For that reason, if there’s one flier I’m taking in the current futures market, it’s the Rams.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.