Dolphins Super Bowl Prediction: Odds Breakdown for Miami

As of Jan. 10, the Dolphins Super Bowl odds are +1600, with an implied probability of 5.9%. Prior to the NFL season, Miami was +3000 to raise the Vince Lombardi Trophy. 

They also possess +750 odds – an implied probability of 11.8% – to win the AFC Championship at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

In terms of the Super Bowl futures market, there was minimal interest in the Dolphins from respected bettors.

As of Jan. 5, Miami received 4.7% of all bets compared to only 3.3% of the total handle to win Super Bowl 58 in Las Vegas. 

Super Bowl 58 Betting Prediction

Maybe the Dolphins would be worth it at a higher number, but these prices offer little value. For my favorite AFC pick, check out my Bills Super Bowl Prediction. 

Honestly, there’s little preventing Miami from making a run aside from their glaring injury issues. 

Linebackers Bradley Chubb and Jaelen Phillips are out for the season, corner Xavien Howard is banged up and linebacker Andrew Van Ginkel sustained a Week 18 injury. 

That basically leaves Christian Wilkins and Jalen Ramsey as the main defensive presences. 

Had Miami held onto the division title – they were -2000 to win the division on November 28 – I could maybe make a case for them, given their outstanding home offensive numbers. 

But now they have to go on the road, where they’ve struggled this season. 

In four road games against fellow playoff teams – Ravens, Bills, Chiefs and Eagles – the Dolphins averaged only 17.5 points per game and finished 0-4 in those contests. 

Without explosive offensive showings, I question how they disguise their defensive issues, especially in cold weather. 

For his career, Tua Tagovailoa has made only one start when the temperature was 33 degrees or lower. 

Now Miami gets the frigid temperatures of Kansas City in the wild-card round. 

Expect a short stay for the Dolphins in the playoffs. That said, they offer tons of viability in next year’s futures market.