- The Titans are -1 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Houston Texans (9-7-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (3-13-0) on Jan. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.
The Titans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Texans vs. Titans Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +1 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -105 |
| Titans | -1 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -115 |
Texans vs. Titans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texans vs Titans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tyjae Spears has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Mason Rudolph has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 82% ROI)
- Will Levis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.98 Units / 51% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans art 6-8 (-2.65 Units / -15.14% ROI).
- Texans are 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -3.95% ROI
- Texans are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -34.46% ROI
- Texans are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / ROI
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 2-14 (-13.35 Units / -76.5% ROI).
- Titans are 3-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -49.86% ROI
- Titans are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI
- Titans are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -22.16% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Texans are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Titans have averaged just 1.9 sacks per game over that time span — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans are undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .606.
The Texans are undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .595.
The Texans were 5-3 (.625) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Titans are 2-15 (.118) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .436.
The Titans are 1-6 (.143) at home this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .522.
The Titans were 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans have run successful plays on just 40.8% of pass attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed successful plays on just 43.3% of pass attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Titans were successful on 52.9% of plays they ran against a base front last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Texans allowed their opponents to be successful on 54.5% of plays with a base front last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Titans have been successful on just 37.6% of plays they have run against a base rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 40.7% of plays with a base rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Texans have run successful plays on just 35.0% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 39.8% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Texans have run successful plays on 33.9% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Titans have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.0% of passing plays this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Texans have run successful plays on just 34.0% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 37.1% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans ran successful plays on 25% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts against a base front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 37% of plays this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans have run 38% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Titans were flagged 9 times for 10+ yards on offense last season — fewest in NFL.
The Titans have averaged just 4.9 yards per play in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense allowed 16 broken tackles in Week 17 — most in NFL.
The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 29% of plays with a heavy rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Only 10% of the plays run against the Texans have been in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 9% of pass attempts with tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense have allowed 0.35 epa per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of 100.6 on contested throws (145 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 68.7.
The Titans defense has allowed first downs on 24% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 46% of plays on contested throws since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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