- The Jaguars are -1 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 40 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Tennessee Titans (3-12-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-12-0) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Titans vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Titans | +1 -110 | 40 -110 | -105 |
| Jaguars | -1 -110 | 40 -110 | -115 |
Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Tyjae Spears has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mason Rudolph has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 87% ROI)
- Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Josh Whyle has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.50 Units / 44% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans art 2-13 (-12.25 Units / -74.92% ROI).
- Titans are 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -46.69% ROI
- Titans are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 21.21% ROI
- Titans are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 7-7 (-0.65 Units / -3.95% ROI).
- Jaguars are 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -49.74% ROI
- Jaguars are 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
- Jaguars are 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans are winless (0-7) after a win since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .538.
The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Titans are winless (0-10) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.
The Titans are winless (0-7) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .255.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) vs top 10 pass offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .407.
The Jaguars are winless (0-3) after a win this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .587.
The Jaguars are winless (0-5) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .307.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars have averaged 0.21 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 0.27 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 36.9% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 39.6% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 16.1% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL. The Titans have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.3% of passing plays this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Titans have run successful plays on 56.0% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed successful plays on 56.8% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Titans ran 33% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Titans have run 39% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars ran 8% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Jaguars ran 23% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jaguars have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense allowed 18.7 yards per completion (131 yards/7 completions) in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.7.
The Titans defense allowed 11.2 yards per dropback (123 yards/11 attempts) in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.
The Titans defense allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 11 attempts (27%) in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 8%.
The Titans defense have allowed 0.24 epa per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of 117.4 on motion plays (262 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.8.
The Jaguars defense has allowed 66 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of 107.6 with a base rush (439 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 91.6.
The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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