Titans vs. Texans Predictions: 3 Bets for Week 15 AFC South Game

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Tennessee Titans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (10) takes the field as he's introduced before their NFL football game against the Indianapolis Colts Sunday, Dec. 3, 2023, in Nashville, Tenn.
(Wade Payne/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Dec 15, 2023, 1:49 PM
  • The Titans are -3.5 against the Texans.
  • Tennessee earned a one-point road win against the Dolphins on MNF.
  • The Texans lost at the Jets in Week 15 and will be without C.J. Stroud on Sunday.

Before the action kicks off from Nashville, I’m set to provide a trio of Titans vs. Texans predictions. 

The Titans are coming off their best win of the season. On Monday in Miami, Tennessee stormed back from down 13 points in the fourth quarter to capture an outright win over the Dolphins. 

As for Houston, they looked terrible in Week 14. Entering halftime, they were tied 0-0 with the Jets but subsequently allowed New York to score 30 second-half points in a loss. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Sunday’s game, as well as my bets for the contest. 

Titans vs. Texans Betting Odds

  • Tennessee Titans Moneyline: -200
  • Houston Texans Moneyline: +165
  • Game Spread: Tennessee Titans -3.5 
  • Game Total: 36.5 Points

Titans vs. Texans Betting Predictions

Titans 1Q Moneyline (-150) vs. Houston Texans

Even if Stroud was playing in this game, Houston is terrible in the first quarter, particularly away from home. 

The Texans are 4-9 ATS this season in the first 15 minutes, including 1-5 ATS when they’re the road team. 

Of those six road contests, Houston has managed more than 3 points in the first quarter only one time. 

Conversely, the Titans are a very strong first quarter team at home. 

Since dropping the first quarter against the Chargers in their home opener, Tennessee has done no worse than a tie in four straight true home games, including three straight wins. 

With Tennessee’s pass offense finding new life against the Dolphins, expect them to exploit a bad Houston secondary early and do no worse than a tie in the first quarter.

DeAndre Hopkins Over 57.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

It’s scary buying Hopkins off two outstanding performances, but this matchup is too good to ignore. 

The Texans, Hopkins’ former team, struggle immensely against the pass. 

They’re 28th in pass defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com, and are coming off their second-worst performance of the season against the Jets. 

Tennessee, admittedly, hasn’t demonstrated prowess via the pass this season, but they’re improving. 

Last week against the Dolphins, a reliable pass defense since the return of Jalen Ramsey, Tennessee posted their best pass offense DVOA output of the entire season. 

Of their three best passing performances this season, two have come in the last three weeks. 

That sets up well for Hopkins, who has cleared this number in eight of 13 games this season and three of his last four contests. 

Same Game Parlay: Titans Moneyline & Texans Team Total Under 17.5 Points (+100) 

Largely, this is a play against the Texans offense, which is riddled with injuries. 

In addition to Stroud’s injury, skill players Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz appear unlikely to suit up on Sunday. 

Without those three players, I question how Houston takes advantage of a Tennessee defense that excels against the run. 

The Titans are fourth in rush defense DVOA and allow only 1.4 opponent offensive touchdowns at home. 

Conversely, the Texans have struggled to score points away from home, even with Stroud. 

Across their last three road games, they’ve stayed under this number twice, including last week when they managed only six points. 

Seeing as the Titans surrendered only 10 points to the Panthers, a side who held Houston to 13, expect the visitors to struggle.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.