- The Vikings are -4.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (6-2-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7-0) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
Bet now on Jaguars vs Vikings & all NFL games with BetMGM
Vikings vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -4.5 -110 | 45 -110 | -225 |
| Jaguars | +4.5 -110 | 45 -120 | +185 |
Vikings vs. Jaguars Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Jaguars vs Vikings and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ty Chandler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 92% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- D’Ernest Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+6.29 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 6-2 (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Vikings are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 40.09% ROI
- Vikings are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Vikings are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 5-4 (+0.55 Units / 5.47% ROI).
- Jaguars are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -45.04% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Jaguars are 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Vikings are 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .603.
The Vikings are 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .367.
The Vikings were 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Vikings were 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Jaguars are 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Jaguars are winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.
The Jaguars are 2-7 (.222) this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of just 31.6% this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 32.4% this season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on just 36.6% of rush attempts with motion this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on just 35.2% of rush attempts against motion this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars ran just 38.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Vikings allowed their opponents to runjust 37.5% of plays in their territory last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 59.6% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed successful plays on 62.5% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings had a third down conversion rate of 50.0% last week — T-5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 52.9% last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings had a third down conversion rate of 50.0% last week — T-5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 52.9% last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
17 of the Vikings offense’s 21 (81%) TDs have come through the air this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Vikings have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — T-most in NFL.
26% of the Vikings offense’s first downs (79 of 299) came on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Vikings have been sacked on 17% of pass attempts (9/54) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars ran no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half in Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of 22% on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Jaguars have turned the ball over on downs 4 times in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars have converted first downs on just 46 of 97 plays (47%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 26 of 139 (19%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 34% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 13% of plays with a stacked front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of 129.6 on motion plays (151 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.9.
The Jaguars defense have allowed 0.20 epa per play with a base rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Jaguars defense has allowed 39 receptions for 20+ yards this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has allowed 5 TDs on first drive of the game this season — most in NFL.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Jaguars vs Vikings and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
