- Padres / Angels TV Channel: BSW
The San Diego Padres (+155) visit Tempe Diablo Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-190) on Sunday, March 10, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Tempe, AZ.
This season, the Padres are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 8-4 ATS.
Padres vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Padres | +155 |
| Angels | -190 |
Padres vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brett Sullivan has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Livan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Padres are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -18.58% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.56 Units / 3.68% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -34.29% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.63 Units / 26.55% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Angels are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.67 Units / 35.06% ROI).
- 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.41 Units / 57.72% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.78 Units / -51.64% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 43.33% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (49/268) versus Jhony Brito in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
50% of Jhony Brito’s called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Jhony Brito threw his changeup for a strike 69% (290/419) of the time in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of 60% (252/419) against Jhony Brito on changeups in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Silseth has limited playing time.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 8-136 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Angels were just 61-7 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres hitters had a swing rate of just 44% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .309 (2,984 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Angels batted just .223 with two outs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .197 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Angels pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Angels vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, Out
- Gary Sanchez (San Diego Padres): Hand, Out
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