Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 23

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2024, 10:11 AM
  • Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: ESPN | SNLA | MLBN

The San Diego Padres (+125) visit Camelback Ranch-Glendale to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Friday, February 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:08pm EST in Glendale, AZ.

Last season, the Padres were 82-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers were 91-74 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Padres+125
Dodgers -150

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brett Sullivan has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.55 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.95 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Padres went 81-81 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -2.96% ROI).

  • 82-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.75 Units / -11.1% ROI
  • 66-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.75 Units / -16.5% ROI
  • 86-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 8.19% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Dodgers went 91-74 against the Run Line (+19.45 Units / 9.89% ROI).

  • 100-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.04% ROI
  • 90-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.15 Units / 8.32% ROI
  • 68-90 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.15 Units / -16.65% ROI

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Padres were just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Padres are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 41-16 (.719) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

The Dodgers are 185-29 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Dodgers were 44-17 (.721) after a loss in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Dodgers were 85-9 (.904) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Padres were just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres hitters had a swing rate of just 44% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .776 (1,953 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .795 (6,333 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .197 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 51% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.


Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.