British Open Picks 2024: 1 of These 9 Players Will Win

Collin Morikawa tees off the sixth hole during the first round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament at Colonial Country Club, Thursday, May 23, 2024, in Fort Worth, Texas.
(AP Photo/LM Otero)
  • The British Open is July 18-21 from Royal Troon.
  • Most winners are at the top of the odds board, but occasionally thereโ€™s a longshot.
  • Scottie Scheffler (+500) has the best odds to win.

Itโ€™s officially British Open week, and a unique one from a golf betting perspective, as players will take on Royal Troon in Scotland. This links-style course is much different than most on the PGA Tour.

There are plenty of storylines to follow, including Rory McIlroy, who has been looking to win his first major since 2014, coming off a disappointing finish at last monthโ€™s U.S. Open. It is also Scottie Schefflerโ€™s first tournament since the Travelers Championship last month.

Scheffler has the best odds to win at +500, followed by McIlroy at +800/

Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week.

British Open Betting Strategy

Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win. Although, if thereโ€™s one major that caters to longer shots, itโ€™s this one.

Like most events, current form does come into play, so itโ€™s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.

Royal Troon and links-style golf is much different than typical tournaments on the PGA Tour, so it will be worth taking note of the players who have had success at the British Open, as well as other events in Europe in the past.

Weather will dictate the scores; if the wind and rain pick up, the scores will not be very low, and it will be about avoiding bogeys and making pars. But, if thereโ€™s no wind, it could turn into a birdie-fest.

Picking A British Open Winner

9 of Last 10 Winners Were Ranked Inside Top 33 of Official World Golf Rankings

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Xander Schauffele
  3. Rory McIlroy
  4. Collin Morikawa
  5. Ludvig Aberg
  6. Bryson DeChambeau
  7. Jon Rahm
  8. Tyrrell Hatton
  9. Patrick Cantlay
  10. Tony Finau
  11. Tommy Fleetwood
  12. Joaquin Niemann
  13. Corey Conners
  14. Viktor Hovland
  15. Hideki Matsuyama
  16. Russell Henley
  17. Sungjae Im
  18. Brian Harman
  19. Aaron Rai
  20. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  21. Davis Thompson
  22. Sahith Theegala
  23. Tom Kim
  24. Wyndham Clark
  25. Sam Burns
  26. Akshay Bhatia
  27. Louis Oosthuizen
  28. Justin Thomas
  29. Adam Scott
  30. Si Woo Kim
  31. Shane Lowry
  32. Matt Fitzpatrick
  33. Alex Noren

Based on recent history, these are the 33 players with a chance to win going into the week based on the Data Golf rankings since these are more accurate than the Official World Golf Rankings.

8 of the Last 10 Winners Posted a Top 20 in 1 of Their Previous 2 Majors

  1. Scheffler
  2. Schauffele
  3. McIlroy
  4. Morikawa
  5. Aberg
  6. DeChambeau
  7. Cantlay
  8. Finau
  9. Fleetwood
  10. Conners
  11. Hovland
  12. Matsuyama
  13. Henley
  14. Rai
  15. Thompson
  16. Theegala
  17. Burns
  18. Bhatia
  19. Thomas
  20. Lowry
  21. Noren

Eliminated: Rahm, Hatton, Niemann, Im, Harman, Bezuidenhout, Kim, Clark, Oosthuizen, Scott, Kim, Fitzpatrick

9 of Last 11 Winners Recorded Top-30 Finish in Start Prior to Win

  1. Scheffler
  2. Schauffele
  3. McIlroy
  4. Morikawa
  5. Aberg
  6. DeChambeau
  7. Cantlay
  8. Finau
  9. Conners
  10. Rai
  11. Theegala
  12. Bhatia
  13. Lowry
  14. Noren

Eliminated: Fleetwood, Hovland, Matsuyama, Henley, Thompson, Burns, Thomas

8 of Last 10 Winners Had Previous Top 10 in the Event

  1. Scheffler
  2. Schauffele
  3. McIlroy
  4. Morikawa
  5. DeChambeau
  6. Cantlay
  7. Finau
  8. Lowry
  9. Noren

Eliminated: Aberg, Conners, Rai, Theegala, Bhatia

Based on these trends, the winner will either be one of those nine players. Keep this in mind when making your British Open picks this week.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.