It’s officially PGA Championship week and one of the best of the year for golf betting.
There are plenty of storylines to follow, including Rory McIlroy looking to win his second straight major at a course he’s won four times before (Quail Hollow Golf Club), Jordan Spieth trying to complete the career Grand Slam, Justin Thomas winning another PGA Championship at a course he’s won at before, and more.
Going into the week, Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win this week at +450.
Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week at Quail Hollow.
PGA Championship Betting Strategy
Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win. While there have been a few outliers in recent years at this event, it is best to select the top players and stay away from long shots.
Like most events, current form does come into play, so it’s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.
Unlike most major championships, Quail Hollow has hosted many PGA Tour events over the years, including the Wells Fargo Championship, so course history is something to consider.
Picking a PGA Championship Winner
9 of Last 12 Winners Were Ranked 21st or Better in Official World Golf Rankings
*With LIV Golf not counting toward Official World Golf Ranking points, we’ll take the top 21 players in Data Golf’s rankings (going into Truist Championship).
- Scottie Scheffler
- Rory McIlroy
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Jon Rahm
- Collin Morikawa
- Justin Thomas
- Russell Henley
- Xander Schauffele
- Joaquin Niemann
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Tyrrell Hatton
- Patrick Cantlay
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Corey Conners
- Shane Lowry
- Ludvig Aberg
- Sepp Straka
- Daniel Berger
- Viktor Hovland
- Denny McCarthy
- Keegan Bradley
Based on recent history, these are the 21 players with a chance to win going into the week based on world ranking.
8 of Last 10 Winners Had Top 20 Finish in Their Previous Start
- Scheffler
- McIlroy
- DeChambeau
- Rahm
- Morikawa
- Thomas
- Schauffele
- Niemann
- Fleetwood
- Hatton
- Cantlay
- Matsuyama
- Conners
- Lowry
- Straka
- Berger
Eliminated: Henley, Aberg, Hovland, McCarthy, Bradley
Recent history has shown recent form is important going into the event. The golfers above did not have a top-20 finish in their most recent start.
8 of Last 10 Winners Had Previous Top-10 Finish at PGA Championship
- Scheffler
- McIlroy
- DeChambeau
- Rahm
- Morikawa
- Thomas
- Schauffele
- Fleetwood
- Hatton
- Cantlay
- Matsuyama
- Lowry
- Straka
Eliminated: Niemann, Conners, Berger
Recent history has shown the winners have had success in at least one PGA Championship. The above players do not have a top-10 finish at the event.
7 of Last 10 Winners Finished Top 10 in At Least 1 of Previous 2 Majors
- Scheffler
- McIlroy
- DeChambeau
- Rahm
- Schauffele
- Lowry
Eliminated: Morikawa, Thomas, Fleetwood, Hatton, Cantlay, Matsuyama, Straka
Based on these trends, the winner will be one of the following six players.
Related Articles
PGA Championship Odds at BetMGM
BetMGM is the premier destination for updated PGA Championship odds each year.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor browsing futures odds for Jordan Spieth months in advance, a casual fan placing a bet on Scottie Scheffler before the first round begins, or a longtime diehard breaking down weekend weather trends, there’s something for everyone.
Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome offer — to start betting. And always check your new account for updated sportsbook promos and bonuses.
