PGA Tour Public Betting, Money Percentages This Week

min read
Akshay Bhatia watches his drive on the first hole during the final round of the Texas Open golf tournament, Sunday, April 7, 2024, in San Antonio.
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 24, 2024, 12:19 PM
  • Akshay Bhatia (+2000) leads the ticket count to win the 3M Open.
  • Tony Finau, who won here in 2022, sits second in total bets placed to win.
  • Only four players have received more than 7% of outright bets placed.

Ahead of the 3M Open, I’m here to deliver a PGA Tour public betting report.

Traditionally, public betting sides are defined as the team receiving more than 51% of all tickets. However, in an index outright winner market, it’s the players receiving a plurality of tickets. 

Bettors can also identify sharp betting preferences by searching out players receiving a higher percentage of money compared to their bets percentage. 

With that outlined, let’s dive into this week’s report based on golf odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

PGA Tour Public Betting: 3M Open

Upstart lefty Akshay Bhatia (+2000) leads the ticket count to win the 3M Open. 

As of Wednesday afternoon, Bhatia has received 11% of all bets placed to win at TPC Twin Cities. Accordingly, he dropped from +2200 at market open to +2000. 

Including Bhatia, four players have received more than 7% of bets placed, with only five players attracting more than 5% of all bets placed:

  • Tony Finau (+1100): 10.1% of bets placed
  • Billy Horschel (+2500): 8.2% of bets placed
  • Sahith Theegala (+2500): 7.3% of bets placed
  • Sam Burns (+1800): 5.1% of bets placed

PGA Tour Sharp Betting Picks: 3M Open

Very few players have received a significantly higher percentage of dollars wagered compared to their bets placed percentage. 

Amongst the five players listed above, only two received a higher percentage of money. Those are Finau and Horschel, whose deltas are +0.5% and +0.9%. 

However, two players have received at least a +3.0% delta: Luke Clanton (+2500) and Cam Davis (+3300). 

Clanton, who posted top-10’s at the Rocket Mortgage and John Deere Classics, has received 8.3% of dollars wagered on 4.1% of bets placed. 

Davis, a standout at the 2022 Presidents Cup and winner in Detroit, has received 6.1% of dollars wagered on only 3.0% of bets placed. 

One other player has received at least a +1.5% discrepancy: Kurt Kitayama (+4000). Kitayama has received only 0.9% of outright bets compared to 2.4% of dollars wagered.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.