U.S. Open Picks 2024: 1 of These 8 Players Will Win

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Collin Morikawa tees off the sixth hole during the first round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament at Colonial Country Club, Thursday, May 23, 2024, in Fort Worth, Texas.
(AP Photo/LM Otero)
Ryan Hannable @RyanHannable Jun 10, 2024, 2:11 PM
  • The U.S. Open is June 16-19 from Pinehurst No. 2.
  • Typically, one of the top players wins this major.
  • Scottie Scheffler (+333) has the best odds to win.

It’s officially U.S. Open week and one of the best of the year for golf betting.

There are plenty of storylines on the course to follow, including Scottie Scheffler looking to continue his recent dominance, Rory McIlroy seeking his first major since 2014 and could another LIV golfer win a major?

Scheffler has the best odds to win the U.S. Open at +333.

Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week at Pinehurst No. 2.

U.S. Open Betting Strategy

Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win.

Like most events, current form does come into play, so it’s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.

Pinehurst No. 2 hasn’t hosted a major since 2014, so the vast majority of players in the field have not played the course before.

Even though there’s not much course history to go off of, it is a U.S. Open, so tough conditions with thick rough are expected. Do not expect many low scores this week, as it will be about limiting bogeys and taking advantage of the limited birdie opportunities.

Picking A U.S. Open Winner

9 Last 10 Winners Were Ranked Inside Top 30 of Official World Golf Rankings

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Xander Schauffele
  3. Rory McIlroy
  4. Collin Morikawa
  5. Ludvig Aberg
  6. Viktor Hovland
  7. Jon Rahm
  8. Russell Henley
  9. Tommy Fleetwood
  10. Hideki Matsuyama
  11. Bryson DeChambeau
  12. Corey Conners
  13. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  14. Patrick Cantlay
  15. Tyrrell Hatton
  16. Justin Thomas
  17. Max Homa
  18. Sahith Theegala
  19. Matt Fitzpatrick
  20. Sepp Straka
  21. Alex Noren
  22. Sam Burns
  23. Tony Finau
  24. Byeong Hun An
  25. Denny McCarthy
  26. Sungjae Im
  27. Billy Horschel
  28. Brian Harman
  29. Keegan Bradley

These are the top 30 players, according to Data Golf. Data Golf was used as the Official World Golf Rankings do not allocate points to LIV Golf events.

[Note: Joaquin Niemann is No. 12 but is not in the field.]

9 of Last 10 Winners Had a Previous Top 25 at the Event

  1. Scheffler
  2. Schauffele
  3. McIlroy
  4. Morikawa
  5. Hovland
  6. Rahm
  7. Henley
  8. Fleetwood
  9. Matsuyama
  10. DeChambeau
  11. Cantlay
  12. Hatton
  13. Thomas
  14. Fitzpatrick
  15. Noren
  16. Finau
  17. An
  18. McCarthy
  19. Im
  20. Horschel
  21. Harman
  22. Bradley

Eliminated: Aberg, Conners, Bezuidenhout, Homa, Theegala, Straka, Burns

8 of the Last 10 U.S. Open Winners Had a Top 10 Finish in the Previous 2 Majors

  1. Scheffler
  2. Schauffele
  3. Morikawa
  4. Hovland
  5. Fleetwood
  6. DeChambeau
  7. Thomas
  8. Horschel

Eliminated: McIlroy, Rahm, Henley, Matsuyama, Cantlay, Hatton, Fitzpatrick, Noren, Finau, An, McCarthy, Im, Harman, Bradley

Based on these trends, the winner will either be one of those eight players. Keep this in mind when making your U.S. Open picks this week.

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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”