Wyndham Championship 2023: Predictions, Best Bets, Sleepers

The final week of the 2022-23 PGA Tour regular season is here.

The Wyndham Championship is Aug. 3-6 from Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. At just over 7,100 yards, it is a short positional course where a lot of birdies will be made.

Dating back to 2016, the winning score has been at least 20-under every year except when Kevin Kisner won at 15-under in 2021.

As a par-70, Sedgefield Country Club has a standard mix of two par-5s, four par-3s, and 12 par-4s. The two par-5s are reachable, and almost half of the par-4s play less than 450 yards, so players will have plenty of chances to attack pins.

It isn’t a designated event, but the field is pretty solid, as players look to improve their place in the FedEx Cup standings ahead of the playoffs next week. Only the top 70 players qualify, as opposed to the 125 players in the past.

Going into the week, Sungjae Im, Russell Henley and Hideki Matsuyama have the best odds to win at +2000. Defending champion Tom Kim is not in the field due to an ankle injury suffered at the Open Championship.

It is worth noting that course history plays more of a role in this tournament than most others. Players who enjoy success here typically carry it over to future years.

Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week.

*Odds as of Aug.1.

Wyndham Championship Predictions 

Hideki Matsuyama, Russell Henley and Sungjae Im are predicted to win the Wyndham Championship with a 4.76% implied probability — i.e., the overall chance of a potential outcome in relation to the odds — according to betting markets.

Si Woo Kim follows at 4.35%.

Wyndham Championship Best Bets

Russell Henley +2000 Odds to Win

Although he’s yet to win the event, Henley has dominated the Wyndham Championship of late. In the last three years, he has three top-10 finishes (T-9, T-7, T-5), and his scoring average in his last 16 rounds is 66.56.

Henley had four straight top-20 finishes from May through late June, so he’s played well this year.

Denny McCarthy +2500 Odds to Win

Sedgefield Country Club is a course that really suits McCarthy’s game and his ability to attack flags. Specific to this tournament, he has three top-25s, but in his last five events overall, he has three top-10s and a T-20.

McCarthy has yet to win on the PGA Tour but has been very close of late. Maybe this is the week.

Wyndham Championship Sleepers

Beau Hossler +5000 Odds to Win

Hossler has picked the right time to get hot. He’s logged a T-6 and a T-13 in his last two events to jump to No. 63 in the FedEx Cup standings. He shot a 62 in the final round of the 3M Open last Sunday, so he enters the week feeling very good.

Billy Horschel +6000 Odds to Win

Horschel has struggled a bit this year, but finished T-13 at last week’s 3M Open. He has liked Sedgefield Country Club over the years, as since 2016, he has made six cuts in six appearances and finished in the top 11 four times. 

Perhaps he found something last week and can use those good vibes at a course he likes.

Wyndham Championship Betting Card & Other Predictions

• Denny McCarthy Outright Win +2500
• Aaron Rai Outright Win +4000
• Eric Cole Outright Win +6600
• Chez Reavie Outright Win +12500
• Shane Lowry Top-20 Finish +138
• Eric Cole Top-20 Finish +240
• Doug Ghim Top-20 Finish +300
• Chez Reavie Top-20 Finish +400

For this week, my betting card focused more on longer shots based on my Fantasy National model.

I shied away from the majority of the players at the top of the odds table, as the value just doesn’t seem to be there.

Here’s the top 10 of my Fantasy National model:

1. Russell Henley
2. Aaron Rai
3. Hideki Matsuyama
4. Shane Lowry
5. Chez Reavie
6. Eric Cole
7. Doug Ghim
8. Sam Burns
9. Alex Smalley
10. Denny McCarthy