Brentford vs. West Ham Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

It’s a London derby on Saturday at the Gtech Community Stadium, with Brentford hosting West Ham United. 

Neither team enters this game in good form. Brentford fell 3-1 to Tottenham the previous weekend, while West ham suffered a blowout 3-0 loss at home to Chelsea. 

Over each team’s last three matches, Brentford has three points while the Hammers have only one. 

Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my Brentford vs. West Ham prediction. 

Brentford vs. West Ham Odds, Premier League

• Brentford Moneyline: +125
• West Ham Moneyline: +210
• Draw Moneyline: +250
• Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-145/+105)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes (-175), No (+120)

Brentford vs. West Ham Prediction: Game Spread

My prediction for Brentford vs. West Ham is the West Ham United Spread (+0.5, -160). 

I recognize this is a lot of juice to lay, but I have no faith in Brentford amidst their current injury crisis. 

While they could return both Rico Henry and Aaron Hickey on Saturday, they remain without both Yoanne Wissa and Mathias Jensen. 

Plus, for all of West Ham’s problems this season, some has to be attributed to the fact they’ve played a brutal schedule. 

Their first three home games saw West Ham play Aston Villa, Manchester City and Chelsea. On the road, they’ve played Fulham and Crystal Palace. 

It’s my opinion Brentford is closer in quality to the latter duo. Against those teams, West Ham has a +0.37 post-shot expected goal differential per 90, per fotmob.com. 

In fairness to Brentford, they’ve looked good at home. In two matches, they have a +4.55 psxGDiff. 

But those games have come against Southampton and Crystal Palace, who I power rate behind West Ham. 

Finally, West Ham matches a historically profitable system. 

Since 2012, half-goal road underdogs with six or seven days between league games in fixtures 2-10 are 58-24 ATS (71.1%), assuming the favorite closed a dog in the previous game. 

When the favorite is coming off a loss, those dogs improve to 34-10, including 18-2 ATS when the favorite is off a loss by multiple goals. 

Take the Hammers to cover the spread on Saturday. 

Brentford Record, Last 5 Matches

• Sept. 21 at Tottenham: 1-3, L
• Sept. 17 vs. Leyton Orient: 3-1, W (EFL Cup)
• Sept. 14 at Manchester City: 1-2, L
• Aug. 31 vs. Southampton: 3-1, W
• Aug. 28 at Colchester: 1-0, W (EFL Cup)

West Ham Record, Last 5 Matches

• Sept. 21 vs. Chelsea: 0-3, L
• Sept. 14 at Fulham: 1-1, D
• Aug. 31 vs. Manchester City: 1-3, L
• Aug. 28 vs. Bournemouth: 1-0, W (EFL Cup)
• Aug. 24 at Crystal Palace: 2-0, W

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Brentford odds and West Ham United odds!