Chelsea vs. Wolves Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

(AP Photo/Ian Walton)
  • Chelsea is a -1.5-goal home favorite against Wolves.
  • Chelsea has won seven of its last eight EPL Monday night matches.
  • My Chelsea vs. Wolves prediction focuses on the first half moneyline.

Following a disappointing home draw against Bournemouth, Chelsea will stay at home for a meeting with Wolves.ย 

The Bluesโ€™ 2-2 draw against Bournemouth extended their winless run to five league matches. As it stands, Enzo Marescaโ€™s side sits fourth in the league table.ย 

Wolvesโ€™ midweek result is yet to be determined. Vitor Pereiraโ€™s side faces a trip to Newcastle and follows it with a trip to Chelsea, who won 6-2 in the last meeting.ย 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Chelsea vs. Wolves prediction.ย 

Chelsea vs. Wolves Odds, Premier League

Chelsea vs. Wolves Prediction

Based on Chelseaโ€™s strong home record in the first half, my Chelsea vs. Wolves prediction is the Chelsea 1H Moneyline (-145).ย 

For some odd reason, Chelsea have consistently allowed teams back into the match, especially at home.ย 

Each of their last two matches at Stamford Bridge โ€“ a 2-1 loss to Fulham and a 2-2 draw with Bournemouth โ€“ saw Chelsea gain an advantage before dropping points.ย 

However, the Blues have now won four first halves in a row at home. From an underlying metrics standpoint, theyโ€™ve thoroughly dominated teams early.ย 

In those four first halves, Chelsea owns a +3.16 expected goals edge and a +4.3 post-shot expected goals edge, per fotmob.com.ย 

In their last match against Bournemouth, the Blues recorded a 1.94-0.16 edge on xG and a 2.14-0.00 edge on post-shot xG.ย 

Plus, Wolves struggled as underdogs in their most recent trip to a Big Six club.ย 

As road underdogs to Tottenham, Wolves fell behind 2-1. From a metrics standpoint, Pereiraโ€™s side lost the xG battle 1.3-0.15 and the post-shot xG battle 1.3-0.4, per fotmob.com.ย 

Pair that with the fact Wolves face back-to-back road matches while Chelsea earns a second straight at home, and bettors should back the Blues to start well.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.