Liverpool vs. Manchester United Prediction, Odds & Best Bet Today – EPL, Dec. 17

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Manchester United's Marcus Rashford applauds at the end of EFL Cup fourth round soccer match between Manchester United and Newcastle at Old Trafford stadium in Manchester, England, Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Dec 14, 2023, 4:43 PM
  • Liverpool is a -1.5 goal favorite against Manchester United.
  • Liverpool earned a 7-0 win in the previous head-to-head meeting.
  • United facing an injury crisis in defense, lost vs. Bournemouth last weekend.

Before Sunday’s English Premier League match, I’m set to provide a Liverpool vs. Manchester United prediction. 

Liverpool enter this match at the top of the Premier League table thanks to an impressive run of results. The Reds have earned wins in three straight and have yet to drop points at Anfield. 

As for Manchester United, they remain mired in inconsistency. One week they’re playing exquisitely against Chelsea, the next they’re losing 3-0 to Bournemouth. 

Here’s how the Premier League odds shape up for Sunday’s encounter at Anfield and my best bet for the match. 

Liverpool vs. Manchester United Betting Odds

  • Liverpool to Win: -300
  • Manchester United to Win: +725
  • Liverpool vs. Manchester United Draw: +500
  • The Liverpool vs. Manchester United Over/Under is 3.5 Goals

Liverpool vs. Manchester United Prediction

Based on recent trends, the prediction for Liverpool vs. Manchester United is Liverpool Goal-Line (-1.5, -140)

My prediction is based on up-to-date player injuries for both teams, expected goal trends and recent player performances. 


This United side looked horrible in a must-win Champions League game against Bayern Munich and now face a dreaded trip to Anfield. 

Liverpool, despite having one fewer day of rest, have nothing to play for in their Thursday Europa League game. 

That should allow ample rest for manager Jurgen Klopp’s Starting XI as they seek to win their second straight head-to-head meeting with the Red Devils. 

The last time these sides met, Liverpool famously earned a 7-0 victory at Anfield. In their last two head-to-head meetings, Liverpool own an 11-0 goal differential. 

The underlying metrics belong to Liverpool, too. 

Over those two head-to-head meetings, they won the combined expected goals battle 4.75-0.92 and the post-shot xG battle 5.87-1.2. 

Plus, Liverpool has bossed teams at home this season. 

They own a +1.62 expected goal differential per 90 minutes at Anfield, where they’re 7-0-0 (W-D-L). 

In those seven EPL fixtures, they’ve covered this number all but one time. 

Add in the Bruno Fernandes suspension for United AND the fact they’re a negative road regression candidate – +1 goal differential vs. -4 expected – and I’ll lay the goals.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.